Volume 108, Issue D9
Climate and Dynamics
Free Access

Effects of charge and electrostatic potential on lightning propagation

L. M. Coleman

L. M. Coleman

Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Mississippi, Mississippi, USA

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T. C. Marshall

T. C. Marshall

Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Mississippi, Mississippi, USA

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M. Stolzenburg

M. Stolzenburg

Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Mississippi, Mississippi, USA

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T. Hamlin

T. Hamlin

Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, New Mexico, USA

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P. R. Krehbiel

P. R. Krehbiel

Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, New Mexico, USA

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W. Rison

W. Rison

Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, New Mexico, USA

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R. J. Thomas

R. J. Thomas

Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, New Mexico, USA

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First published: 15 May 2003
Citations: 152

Abstract

[1] Three-dimensional lightning mapping observations are compared to cloud charge structures and electric potential profiles inferred from balloon soundings of electric field in New Mexico mountain thunderstorms. For six individual intracloud and cloud-to-ground flashes and for a sequence of 36 flashes in one storm, the comparisons consistently show good agreement between the altitudes of horizontal lightning channels and the altitudes of electric potential extrema or wells. Lightning flashes appear to deposit charge of opposite polarity in relatively localized volumes within the preexisting lower positive, midlevel negative, and upper positive charge regions associated with the potential wells. The net effect of recurring lightning charge deposition at the approximate levels of potential extrema is to increase the complexity in the observed storm charge structure. The midlevel breakdown of both normal intracloud flashes and negative cloud-to-ground flashes is observed to be segregated by flash type into the upper and lower parts of the deep potential well associated with the midlevel negative charge. The segregation is consistent with perturbations observed in the bottom of the negative potential well due to embedded positive charge that was probably deposited by earlier flashes. It is also consistent with an expected tendency for vertical breakdown to begin branching horizontally before reaching the local potential minimum. The joint observations reconcile the apparent dichotomy between the complex charge structures often inferred from balloon soundings through storms and the simpler structures often inferred from lightning measurements.

1. Introduction

[2] After a lightning flash is initiated in a cloud, what controls where various branches of the flash go? From visual observations, we know that both cloud-to-ground (CG) flashes and intracloud (IC) flashes have branches with substantial horizontal extents. Measurements from electric field change arrays and radar, radio, and acoustic mapping of lightning [e.g., Pierce, 1955; Ogawa and Brook, 1969; Krehbiel et al., 1979; Ligda, 1956; Proctor, 1983; MacGorman et al., 1981] have provided ample evidence that many lightning flashes travel predominantly horizontally. Recent high-resolution interferometric observations by Shao and Krehbiel [1996] also show that many IC flashes have a relatively short vertical channel connecting two extensive horizontal regions of discharge, which often contain a number of horizontal branches. Their measurements indicated that IC flashes begin with “upward propagating negative breakdown” followed “after a time delay” by radiation associated with previously undetected positive polarity breakdown. Presumably, the two polarities of breakdown were initially driven by the primarily downward pointing electric field (E) commonly seen between the main negative and upper positive charge regions [e.g., Winn et al., 1978; Stolzenburg et al., 1998a, 1998b, 1998c]. Shao and Krehbiel [1996] assumed that the horizontal branches of the bilevel IC flashes traveled through the main negative and upper positive charge regions of the cloud. In this paper we will attempt to determine whether their assumption was correct.

[3] Vonnegut [1983] cautioned that the charge deposited by a lightning flash might not be colocated with the preexisting charge within the cloud that initiated the flash. He sketched a hypothetical situation of lightning-deposited charge of one polarity within the volume of a preexisting cloud charge of the opposite polarity, but the lightning charge was not centered on the cloud charge. Vonnegut [1983] also stressed that “it is important to recognize that it is the electric field and not the charged particles that are of dominant importance in causing lightning and determining where it goes and where it deposits charge. The lightning event can begin or propagate or deposit charge even in regions where charged particles are absent.” Vonnegut's overall conclusion was that “the relationships between the space charge in thunderclouds and the lightning that it causes are so complex or so poorly understood that deductions concerning the nature or location of this charge based solely on observations of lightning are open to question.” In this paper we will use balloon measurements of the quasistatic electric field to determine where the preexisting cloud charges are, and we will compare those locations to lightning paths determined from a VHF time-of-arrival mapping system. These data will allow us to determine experimentally the extent to which the lightning-deposited charge overlaps the preexisting cloud charge without relying “solely on observations of lightning” [Vonnegut, 1983].

[4] Energy arguments can be used to show that the lightning charge is likely to be deposited within a region of cloud charge. A lightning flash requires energy to cause dielectric breakdown of the air through which it travels, and it gets that energy from the storm's electrostatic energy [Kasemir, 1960; Vonnegut, 1983]. This energy can be found by integrating the electrostatic energy density (0.5 εE2) over all space (where ε is the permittivity of air). Equivalently, the energy can be determined from half the integral of ρV over all space, where V is the electric potential corresponding to the space charge distribution ρ. The energy involved in a flash must equal the electrostatic energy associated with the original (preflash) charge distribution minus the energy associated with the final (postflash) charge distribution. The greatest decrease in energy of the system will occur when lightning deposits charge inside existing charge regions. Marshall and Stolzenburg [2002] recently carried out simple calculations of this sort.

[5] In this study we compare three-dimensional (3-D) measurements of the lightning paths in storms to the charge regions and electric potential profiles inferred from balloon soundings of the electric field in the storms. The primary goal of the study is to gain understanding of how the preexisting charge and electric potential in a cloud influence the lightning development by studying the altitudes at which horizontal lightning branches travel.

2. Instrumentation

[6] The data presented herein were acquired during the Studies of Electrical Evolution in Thunderstorms (SEET), conducted in July and August of 1999 at the Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research in the mountains of central New Mexico. Multiple series of four to seven instrumented balloons were launched at 5–15 min intervals into storms over the mountain top. These storms were also observed with a four-station surface electric field mill network, a time-of-arrival lightning mapping system, “fast” and “slow” electric field change antennas, and two meteorological radars. Times and ground strike locations of CG lightning flashes were obtained from the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) [e.g., Cummins et al., 1998].

2.1. Balloon Data

[7] Balloon location, ambient pressure, temperature, and relative humidity were determined using data from a Global Positioning System (GPS) dropsonde (configured as an upsonde) flown on each balloon. The dropsondes were developed by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) [Hock and Franklin, 1999]. For the SEET project, NCAR's Atmospheric Technology Division modified the dropsonde to compute the full GPS position in the sonde and then telemeter this position to the ground station. Only the horizontal GPS location is used directly; the vertical position of the balloon is calculated from the thermodynamic variables using the hypsometric equation. All altitudes given in this paper are measured relative to mean sea level (msl). In addition, we calculate relative humidity with respect to ice using an empirical expression [Buck, 1981] appropriate for the 0°C to −50°C temperature range.

[8] Each balloon also carried an electric field meter of the type described by Winn et al. [1978] and Marshall et al. [1995]. This instrument measures the magnitude of E up to 220 kV m−1, the vertical component of the electric vector, Ez, and the polarity of Ez. (The convention used in this paper is that a positive Ez causes an upward force on positive charge.) The electric field meter senses the induced charge that moves back and forth between two spheres as they rotate about a horizontal axis. The horizontal axis rotates more slowly about a vertical axis. The balloon soundings of electric field in this paper show the magnitude of the component of E perpendicular to the horizontal axis, Eperp, multiplied by the sign of Ez. As the horizontal axis slowly rotates, Eperp will alternate between the total vector E and the vertical component Ez. When E has a substantial horizontal component, this alternation looks like noise in the graphs because the oscillations are too fast to be resolved in the graphs shown. The inner envelope of the oscillations is Ez (with sign) while the outer envelope of the oscillations is the magnitude of the total electric vector E times the sign of Ez. When these envelopes are nearly equivalent (as often happens), then Ez is the only significant component of the total E vector.

[9] On the basis of a one-dimensional (1-D) approximation to Gauss's law [e.g., Marshall and Rust, 1991; Stolzenburg and Marshall, 1994], we assume that changes in Ez with altitude are caused when the balloon rises through a region of charge in the cloud. (Changes in E with altitude could also be caused by temporal variations in E as the balloon rises or by approaching or receding from spatially localized charge regions.) The altitude and thickness of each charge region is given by the altitudes bounding a quasilinear portion of the Ez profile, while the polarity and charge density of the region are given by the 1-D approximation to Gauss's law:
urn:x-wiley:01480227:media:jgrd10068:jgrd10068-math-0001
where z is the sounding balloon's altitude, and ΔEz is the change in Ez that occurs as the balloon's altitude changes by Δz. Stolzenburg and Marshall [1994] showed that the 1-D approximation is reasonably good if a charge region has a horizontal extent of about 4 km × 4 km or greater.
[10] Marshall and Stolzenburg [2001] presented electric potential profiles through 13 storms and found that voltages (relative to ground) within thunderclouds ranged approximately between ±100 MV. Many of these profiles showed a negative voltage peak at midlevel altitudes and a positive voltage peak at higher altitudes, with the potential difference between the peaks ranging between 20 and 130 MV. Since the electric potential is a useful quantity in energy determinations, we calculate the potential profile for each balloon sounding of E. As in the work of Marshall and Stolzenburg [2001], the electric potential, V, at any altitude in the sounding is given by
urn:x-wiley:01480227:media:jgrd10068:jgrd10068-math-0002
with the potential at the ground defined to be 0 V.

[11] This equation has two approximations. First, the integrand for the complete line integral would contain terms Exdx and Eydy associated with horizontal balloon motion. These two terms usually will be less than the term Ezdz because E and the vector tangent to the balloon path are often much more vertical than horizontal. The second approximation is that the true potential should be the integral at an instant in time, whereas the data only allow an integral with time increasing as the balloon ascends. Because it takes a relatively long time (typically 15–25 min) for a balloon to travel through the entire depth of a storm cloud, the balloon E or V sounding is a time-skewed, approximate measurement rather than an instantaneous one. During a balloon flight the E and V profiles in a cloud will change because of charging and discharging mechanisms and because of lightning flashes. Because lightning flashes alter the E profile used to calculate V, we do not consider the V magnitudes to be correct, but the shape of the V profile is probably similar to an instantaneous profile.

[12] Some aspects of the E and V profiles are essentially correct instantaneously. Two of these will be important in what follows. First, the local charge density is based on the slope of Ez versus z. If a lightning flash deposits charge in a region that a balloon is traversing (thereby changing the local charge density), the slope of Ez versus z will change immediately. Second, a maximum or minimum in the V(z) profile occurs at an altitude where E goes through zero, so the altitudes of the extrema in the V profile are correct at the moment that they occur (even if the magnitude of the extremum is incorrect).

2.2. Lightning Data

[13] The New Mexico Tech Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) was operated at Langmuir Laboratory in a configuration similar to that described by Rison et al. [1999]. This system locates sources of impulsive VHF radiation in the 60–66 MHz band by measuring the arrival times of the radiation at up to 10 receiving stations. The time and magnitude of the peak radiation event during each 100 μs time interval of the flash are recorded at each station. Events detected at 6 or more of the 10 stations are located in 3 spatial dimensions and in time. In this paper we refer to radiation peaks detected and located by the LMA as radiation sources or events. Each radiation source is characterized by its position, time, peak source power, and the goodness-of-fit (χv2) value of the location results.

[14] The LMA data are interpreted using the conceptual framework of bidirectional breakdown [Kasemir, 1960; Mazur, 1989]. As the bidirectional leaders of a lightning flash extend away from the initiation region, their ends are oppositely charged. The leader end with negative charge induced at its tip and along its length is called negative polarity breakdown; the other (positively charged) end is positive polarity breakdown [Kasemir, 1960; Mazur, 1989]. With care one can usually determine the type of breakdown associated with the radiation events. From interferometric observations of lightning [e.g., Shao and Krehbiel, 1996] it is known that negative polarity breakdown is a copious producer of VHF radiation. In contrast, positive polarity breakdown is much quieter in the VHF band. Thus the LMA tends to detect and locate many more events during negative than during positive polarity breakdown. For negative polarity breakdown, the VHF sources extend in a quasilinear, continuous fashion away from the initiation region [e.g., Shao and Krehbiel, 1996; Rison et al., 1999]. The positive polarity breakdown is also detected by the LMA to progress away from the initiation region, but its channels are often not well delineated by the widespread network of stations deployed during SEET. The interferometer measurements, which locate continuous rather than impulsive radiation events, detect the positive polarity breakdown as a series of retrograde negative polarity breakdown from successively greater distances along the path of undetected positive streamers [Shao and Krehbiel, 1996]. This behavior has also been observed and discussed by Mazur [1989]. Another indication of the polarity of the breakdown is given by the power of the radiation sources. Thomas et al. [2001] showed that negative polarity breakdown sources tend to have larger peak radiated power than positive breakdown sources.

[15] A flat-plate antenna was also operated during SEET and measured “slow” (10 s decay time constant) and “fast” (100 μs decay time constant) electric field changes of the discharges. The field change measurements provide information on flash type (IC or CG) and the time and number of CG return strokes [Kitagawa and Brook, 1960; Ogawa and Brook, 1964].

3. Intracloud Flashes

[16] In this section we compare lightning mapping observations with two balloon soundings in different storms. Comparisons are made for three individual IC flashes of varying complexity, each of which developed channels close to a sounding balloon.

3.1. Flash A

[17] Flash A occurred at 2004:13 UT on 25 July 1999, in a small cell east of the Langmuir Laboratory area. The cell produced a total of five lightning flashes over a 14 min time interval. The first four discharges were CG flashes and the final discharge was the IC flash discussed here, Flash A. Both Flash A and the CG flash preceding Flash A developed horizontal channels to the west that passed close to and beyond the path of the sounding balloon. The CG flash is discussed later as Flash F. The balloon ascended through weak (≤36 dBZ) precipitation extending westward from the Flash A cell and southward from an earlier, more active cell that was dying. Cloud top in the vicinity of the balloon ascent was at about 8 km altitude but extended to 10–11 km in the convective cell.

[18] The radiation sources located for the flash are shown in Figure 1, along with the trajectory of the sounding balloon. The balloon was launched 19 min earlier, at 1945:10 UT, and was at 6.4 km altitude msl at the time of Flash A. The balloon location is indicated by the small diamond in Figure 1, and the initial radiation source is indicated by the “cross” symbol.

Details are in the caption following the image
Flash A. This IC flash occurred at 2004:13 UT on 25 July 1999. Locations of VHF radiation sources detected by the LMA are color-coded by time and displayed in five different graphs (clockwise from top): altitude versus time, altitude histogram of the sources in 100-m bins, a projection of the sources onto the south-north vertical plane, a horizontal (plan) projection of the sources, and a projection of the sources onto the west-east vertical plane. Sources shown are those with χv2 (indicating the goodness-of-fit of their location) value of less than 2. The crosses denote the position of the first LMA source. The first source was at 5.8 km altitude and was the likely location of flash initiation. The path of an instrumented balloon is shown in the projections; the diamonds show the location of the balloon at the time of the flash. The box in the horizontal projection encloses those sources that are included in the histogram in Figure 3. The two small squares in the middle of the horizontal projection indicate the locations of two of the 10 LMA stations in the middle of the array. The station to the southeast was located at Langmuir Laboratory and is the origin of the horizontal coordinates. Altitudes are relative to mean sea level (msl).

[19] Flash A initiated 3 km to the east of the balloon and had a complex bilevel structure, developing in several directions away from the initiation region. An initial upper level branch developed northward and upward to 10.5 km altitude, 3 km north of the flash initiation region. Radar observations (not presented) show that the upward channel extended into the upper part of a weakly precipitating cell that did not produce lightning. A subsequent upper level branch developed horizontally to the west, toward and past the balloon location, with the closest radiation sources located less than 100 m in plan position from the balloon. A side channel of this branch passed directly over or beside the balloon location, while the main channel of the branch passed 1 km to the north of the balloon. The radiation sources of the branch were between about 6.0 and 7.5 km altitude, indicating that the branch was mostly above the balloon altitude of 6.4 km. Other upper level branches developed in various horizontal directions away from the initiation region.

[20] Two lower level branches were detected from the flash. The first branch developed westward from the initiation region to immediately below and slightly beyond the balloon location, between 5.0 and 5.5 km altitude. The second lower level branch developed northwestward into the decaying cell north of the sounding balloon, increasing in altitude to between 6 and 7 km as it went. Except along the final parts of the second branch, the lower level branches had substantially fewer located radiation sources than the upper level branches. The decreased number of radiation sources in the lower level, coupled with the upward initial development of the flash, is characteristic of normal-polarity bilevel IC lightning flashes.

[21] The balloon data are shown in Figure 2. The electric field changes of several lightning discharges are seen as discontinuities in the E profile. The occurrence of Flash A is marked with an arrow in the E profile of the left panel. The flash changed E from −31 to +21 kV m−1, i.e., from downward to upward pointing. The electric field was predominantly vertical both before and after the flash but developed a significant horizontal component (up to 20 kV m−1) during parts of the sounding. The negative value of E prior to the flash indicated positive charge above the balloon and/or negative charge below the balloon and is consistent with the overall charge structure inferred from the sounding, as discussed in the next paragraph. The positive change in E indicates that the flash added net negative charge above and/or net positive charge below the balloon, consistent with the flash's charge deposition inferred from the radiation sources. The fact that E also reversed polarity indicates that charge deposited by the lightning strongly influenced the local field following the flash and is consistent with the closeness of the channels to the balloon.

Details are in the caption following the image
Sounding data from the third balloon launched on 25 July 1999. The graph on the left shows electric field (E), electrostatic potential (V), temperature (T), and relative humidity with respect to ice (RHice). The E shown is the measured magnitude of the electric field, which oscillates (about every 2 s or 10 m in altitude) between the total field magnitude and the magnitude of Ez (the vertical component of E); E is assigned the polarity of Ez. Arrows indicate the field changes caused by Flashes A and F described in the text. The graph on the right shows Ez and the charge density (εΔEzz) inferred using a one-dimensional approximation to Gauss's law; gray bars indicate positive charge regions, and black bars indicate negative charge regions.

[22] Figure 2 also shows the inferred charge structure along the path of the balloon, estimated using equation (1). Starting from the ground, we can tentatively identify the various charge regions. The positive charge between 3.2 and 3.5 km was likely a layer of corona ions near the ground [e.g., Standler and Winn, 1979; Chauzy and Raizonville, 1982]. Lower positive charge was evident in the cloud between 4.3 and 5.1 km [e.g., Marshall and Winn, 1982]. Negative charge was located between 5.2 and 5.8 km [e.g., Stolzenburg et al., 1998c]. Above 5.8 km, it is more difficult to identify the charge regions, except for the uppermost positive charge between 7.3 and 7.7 km, which seems to be a screening charge at the upper cloud boundary [e.g., Marshall et al., 1989; Marshall and Rust, 1991]. Positive charge tended to dominate between 5.8 and 7.3 km, but was interspersed with negative and apparent neutral charge regions. The charge was predominantly positive in the macroscopic sense that Ez changed from −90 kV m−1 at 5.8 km to +22 kV m−1 at 7.1 km.

[23] From the initiation altitude of Flash A, we gain some information about the horizontal electrical structure of the storm. We note that the electric field reached its strongest values immediately above and below the midlevel negative charge region. The E extrema were −95 kV m−1 at 5.85 km and +55 kV m−1 at 5.2 km, respectively. An IC flash would be expected to initiate at the altitude of the maximum E above the negative charge region and a CG flash at the altitude of the maximum E below the negative charge region [Coleman et al., 2000]. Even though Flash A was initiated 3 km east of the balloon, its initial radiation sources were at 5.9 km altitude, the same height as the maximum negative E measured in the sounding. Also, we show in section 4.3 that the CG flash preceding Flash A was initiated at 5.2 km, the same height as the maximum positive E measured in the sounding. Although E was presumably stronger in the initiation region, these results indicate that the charge structure was relatively extensive and horizontally layered through this part of the storm. Such a charge structure is also consistent with the horizontal development of the lightning channels. However, the presumed stronger E in the initiation region and the measurable horizontal E during parts of this balloon sounding (Figure 2) are indicative of horizontal variations in the charge and potential structures.

[24] The sounding-inferred potential, V, reached its largest magnitude of −45 MV in the negative charge region. This occurred where Ez changed polarity, at a height of 5.5 km. The potential exhibited a relatively deep minimum within the negative charge region and as such constituted a potential “well” for positive charge. A similar but weaker potential maximum was observed between 6.4 and 6.7 km that constituted a potential well for negative charge. To the extent that the potential profile represents the instantaneous potential prior to a lightning flash, it provides a valuable way of predicting how the flash will behave from an energetic standpoint. In particular, for horizontally extensive charge structures, it will be energetically favorable for positive polarity breakdown to propagate into and spread out horizontally in a potential minimum, and for negative polarity breakdown to develop into and follow a potential maximum. Thus the lightning branches would tend to travel in potential energy minima corresponding to the sign of their leader charge.

[25] Figure 3 compares a histogram of the radiation source heights for Flash A with the inferred potential profile and charge values. The histogram includes only radiation sources that were within about 2 km of the balloon, as defined by the box in Figure 1. Although there is a relative paucity of lower level sources associated with the positive breakdown, the histogram illustrates the bilevel nature of the lightning channels. Each of the two levels agrees well with its corresponding potential energy minimum. Also, we can compare the altitudes of the horizontal branches to the altitudes of the charge regions in Figure 3. For the lower level branches, the peak of the radiation sources was in the lower part of the negative charge region. At upper levels, the radiation sources were in part of the predominantly positive charge region between 5.8 and 7.1 km. Due to the complex charge structure inferred in the upper part of the sounding, the agreement between the source histogram and the inferred charge densities is not as obvious as with the potential energy minima.

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the LMA sources of Flash A to the cloud charge distribution and electrostatic potential. On the left is the charge density and on the right is the voltage profile from Figure 2. The graph in the middle is an altitude histogram of the sources of Flash A that are within the area of the box shown in Figure 1. The cross marks the first LMA source and the likely location of flash initiation. The circle shows the altitude of the balloon at the time of the flash. Peaks in the histogram are bounded with dotted lines, which are just approximate indications of their altitude ranges. These guidelines and the associated cross-hatching between them are intended to help in the comparisons of the three graphs. For this flash, the upper region of LMA activity is associated with negative polarity breakdown and the lower region with positive polarity breakdown. The guidelines are placed (arbitrarily) at 10 or more sources in the upper region and 3 or more sources in the lower region.

[26] Identification of the upper positive charge region becomes clearer when it is noted that the inferred negative charge between 6.4 and 6.6 km probably resulted from Flash A. In particular, the slope of E versus z suddenly changed from being zero immediately prior to the flash to being negative immediately following Flash A. If the E change between 6.4 and 6.6 km was due to a spatial variation in E, the fact that the change began immediately after the flash indicates that the negative charge was deposited by Flash A. This interpretation is supported by the close proximity of the lightning radiation sources above the balloon and by the lightning field change at the balloon. Alternatively, the change in E following Flash A could have been temporal, due to E recovery and regeneration following the flash. In this case the inferred negative charge was not real but an artifact of the charge analysis technique. This interpretation is not supported by data from a second balloon, located 110 m directly below the first balloon at the time of Flash A: for about 8–10 s after the flash both balloons showed identical changes in the magnitudes of Ez, but after this, the lower (second) balloon measured positive Ez values that were about 7 kV m−1 larger. (We note that the charge density of about 0.6 nC m−3 inferred from these simultaneous Ez measurements is different from the value shown in Figure 2. The difference is likely due to the fact that the 1-D approximation is not appropriate for the localized charge deposited by a lightning channel.) These two simultaneous measurements indicate that negative charge was present between the balloons. From these measurements, we conclude that the negative charge inferred between 6.4 and 6.6 km was deposited there by the upper channel of Flash A.

3.2. Flash B

[27] Figure 4 shows a simpler bilevel IC flash that occurred at 2254:27 UT on 31 July 1999. It was one of a steady sequence of IC and CG flashes from a 6 min time interval of the storm that we analyze later in this study. The lightning was occurring immediately to the south and to the northeast of Langmuir Laboratory and often produced horizontal channels above the laboratory area where the sounding balloon ascended. The lightning was much more frequent than in the 25 July storm; approximately 40 discharges occurred over the 6-min time interval, 36 of which were within or had significant components within a 6 km × 6 km plan area around Langmuir Laboratory. Radar echo tops were typically 9–12 km in the vicinity of the balloon ascent, and the radar reflectivity reached 55 dBZ in the precipitation core to the south (and in another lightning producing cell to the southeast).

Details are in the caption following the image
Flash B. This IC flash occurred at 2254:27 UT on 31 July 1999. As in Figure 1, the five graphs show LMA sources color-coded by time and with χv2 less than 2. The crosses mark the first LMA source. The path of an instrumented balloon is shown in the projections; the diamonds show the location of the balloon at the time of the flash.

[28] From Figure 4, Flash B initiated at 8.2 km altitude in the southern lightning-producing region. The balloon was at 6.9 km altitude at the time of the flash, immediately above Langmuir Laboratory and 3 km northeast of the flash initiation region. As is typical of bilevel IC lightning, the flash began with negative-polarity breakdown that developed upward in the cloud and soon turned horizontal. Radar comparisons (not shown) indicate that the initiation region was 3–4 km west of the closest precipitation core; the initial upper level breakdown propagated horizontally eastward into the core region and then turned upward into the upper part of the core. The flash subsequently developed northward horizontal branches at both the upper and lower levels. The lower level breakdown was between 6.9 and 7.6 km altitude and progressed past the balloon location, passing about 1 km to the west of the balloon and slightly higher in altitude. This breakdown was of positive polarity. The upper level, negative polarity breakdown was between 9.0 and 9.5 km altitude and further to the west. The radiation sources indicate the occurrence of several extensive K changes between the extremities of the lower and upper level channels at the end of the flash [Shao and Krehbiel, 1996]. The effect of the K changes and of the flash as a whole would have been to transfer negative charge into the upper level channels and to leave positive charge behind on the lower level channels.

[29] Flash B occurred during the sounding shown in Figure 5. The flash caused a small change in E at the balloon, from −26 to −30 kV m−1. This is consistent with the addition of net positive charge above and off to the side of the balloon. Prior to the flash, the E sounding indicated that the balloon passed through negative charge between 6.0 and 6.9 km altitude; shortly after the flash, the balloon passed through alternating regions of positive and negative charge between 6.9 and 7.8 km. The complicated charge structure between 6 and 8 km altitude is typical of that found outside the updraft in the convective regions of storms [Stolzenburg et al., 1998a, 1998b, 1998c]. These charge structures are characterized as having: (1) four or more closely spaced charge layers between the altitudes of 5 and 9 km, and (2) several E peaks of both polarities with relatively large magnitudes (at least 25 kV m−1 and often greater than 100 kV m−1) in the same altitude range. Regions of alternating positive and negative charge were also inferred above 9 km altitude.

Details are in the caption following the image
Sounding data from the fourth balloon launched on 31 July 1999. As in Figure 2, the graph on the left shows electric field (E), potential (V), temperature (T), and relative humidity with respect to ice (RHice). Arrows indicate the field changes caused by Flashes B, C, and D. The graph on the right shows Ez and the charge density (εΔEzz) inferred from the sounding.

[30] Figure 6 shows the charge regions and the potential profile compared with the LMA source-altitude histogram for Flash B. The balloon trajectory was such that the instrument passed 1–2 km to the east of both the lower and upper level northward branches of the flash (Figure 4). The radiation sources associated with the negative polarity breakdown in the upper level branches of the flash exhibited a peak in the histogram at about 9.3 km, close to the bottom of the potential well for negative charge at 9.7 km. Also, these sources overlapped positive charge inferred along the balloon path between 9.3 and 9.9 km altitude. (The smaller peak in the histogram at 10.1 km altitude was associated with the final, upward part of the initial branch in the core of the storm. These sources were 3–4 km to the south of the balloon's position when it reached 10 km altitude.)

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the charge distribution, potential, and LMA sources of Flash B. On the left is the charge density and on the right is the voltage profile from Figure 5. The graph in the middle is an altitude histogram of the Flash B sources in Figure 4. The cross in the center graph marks the altitude of the first LMA source and the likely altitude of flash initiation. The circle marks the altitude of the balloon at the time of the flash. As in Figure 3, the dotted lines (and cross-hatching) bounding the histogram peaks are included only to help compare the three graphs. For this flash, the upper region of activity in the histogram is associated with negative polarity breakdown and the lower region with positive polarity breakdown.

[31] The smaller number of radiation sources associated with positive polarity breakdown were located mostly between 7.0 and 7.4 km altitude, with a histogram peak at 7.2 km. These sources were within the deep potential well for positive charge centered at about 7 km. The potential well had two minima in this region due to the presence of embedded positive charge between 6.8 and 7.3 km. The lower level radiation sources overlapped this positive charge and adjacent negative charge regions, in apparent disagreement with the expectation that they would be found in a region of negative charge only. However, as we later discuss, the embedded positive charge seen by the balloon was probably deposited there by positive polarity breakdown of one or more flashes 1–2 min prior to Flash B. In addition, the lower level channel traversed around the region where the positive charge was encountered by the balloon, consistent with the expectation that the deposited positive charge would have been localized along the previous lightning channels. As in Flash A, the charge deposition was in the bottom of the potential well (in this case a well for positive charge).

3.3. Flash C

[32] Figure 7 shows another bilevel IC flash that occurred about 1.5 min after Flash B, at 2255:48 UT on 31 July. The sounding balloon had risen to 7.6 km altitude by the time of this flash; the flash's occurrence is denoted by the arrow in Figure 5. Flashes B and C were both initiated at 8.2 km altitude, 2–3 km south of Langmuir Lab; this was also the altitude of the largest negative sustained E (−60 kV m−1) along the balloon trajectory. Three upper level branches of negative polarity breakdown emanated outward from above the flash initiation region. The final branch propagated northward through the eventual path of the balloon, crossing the path at an altitude between 9 and 10 km. The branch continued to the northeast, descending to between 7 and 8 km altitude. The lower level radiation sources associated with positive polarity breakdown also developed northward and northwestward from the initiation region. Many of the sources were in a relatively well-defined channel that passed almost directly below the balloon. The channel began at 7.5–8 km altitude in the initiation region and steadily descended to between 6 and 7 km as it passed below the balloon. Flash C caused a field change at the balloon of +19 kV m−1 (from −32 to −13 kV m−1), consistent with the addition of net positive charge below the balloon and/or net negative charge above the balloon.

Details are in the caption following the image
Flash C. This IC flash occurred at 2255:48 UT on 31 July 1999. As in Figure 1, the five graphs show LMA sources color-coded by time and with χv2 less than 2. The crosses mark the first LMA source. The path of an instrumented balloon is shown in the projections; the diamonds show the location of the balloon at the time of the flash. The box in the horizontal projection encloses sources included in the histogram in Figure 8.

[33] Figure 8 shows the comparison of the inferred charge regions and potential profile with the LMA source-altitude histogram. The comparison is restricted to the portion of the flash within the 5 km square box of Figure 7. As found for Flash B, the heights of the radiation sources during Flash C agree well with the potential energy minima for each polarity of breakdown. The upper level sources, associated with negative polarity breakdown, overlapped with net positive charge between about 9 and 10 km altitude; the balloon passed through the location of these radiation sources 2–3.5 min after the flash. (The separate group of sources between 10 and 11 km altitude were located several kilometers to the northeast of the balloon's path.) The lower level breakdown exhibited a range of altitudes in the vicinity of the balloon, but the main channel corresponded to the lower grouping of sources in Figure 8 and was at the same altitude as the negative charge region between 6 and 6.8 km encountered by the balloon 2 min earlier and a kilometer to the south. Like Flash B, the lower level channel appeared to avoid the embedded positive charge region at 7 km altitude thought to have been deposited there by earlier flashes. The breakdown path was close to that of the lower level channel of Flash B, except generally lower in altitude.

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the charge distribution, potential, and LMA sources of Flash C. On the left is the charge density and on the right is the voltage profile as shown in Figure 5. The graph in the middle shows an altitude histogram of the sources enclosed in the box in Figure 7. The cross marks the altitude of the first LMA source and the likely location of flash initiation. The circle indicates the altitude of the balloon at the time of the flash. As in Figure 3, the dotted lines (and cross-hatching) bounding the histogram peaks are included only to help compare the three graphs. For this flash, the upper region is associated with negative polarity breakdown and the lower region with positive polarity breakdown.

4. Cloud-to-Ground Flashes

[34] There are several basic differences between IC and CG flashes. For instance, CG flashes move charge between the ground and the cloud, as opposed to IC flashes, which rearrange charge but do not alter the total charge of the cloud. Additionally, the entire channel of a CG flash takes on the electric potential of the ground once it connects to the ground (modified by a small potential drop along the conductive channel). The CG flashes discussed in this section were of the normal, negative polarity type, that is, they effectively lowered negative charge to ground. The observations provide examples of different ways in which CG flashes occur.

[35] Along with the same types of data presented for IC flashes, we will also present ground E measurements taken during the 31 July 1999, storm. These data will be helpful in understanding the development of lower level branches in the CG flashes.

4.1. Flash D

[36] Our first example of a CG flash, shown in Figure 9, occurred at 2252:26 UT during the 31 July sounding shown in Figure 5. It is denoted as Flash D in Figure 5 and occurred 2 min before IC Flash B. At the time of Flash D, the balloon was at 5.7 km altitude and ascending through the inferred lower positive charge region. Prior to the flash, E at the balloon was positive, consistent with the balloon being partway through the lower positive charge and below the midlevel negative charge. Flash D reduced the field from its preflash value of +67 kV m−1 to +38 kV m−1, consistent with the addition of negative charge below the balloon and/or positive charge above the balloon, as indicated by the LMA observations that the flash had negative polarity breakdown below and positive polarity breakdown above the balloon.

Details are in the caption following the image
Flash D. This cloud-to-ground (CG) flash occurred at 2252:25 UT on 31 July 1999. As in Figure 1, the five graphs show LMA sources color-coded by time and with χv2 less than 2. The crosses mark the first LMA source. Triangles indicate the ground strike locations based on the NLDN data. The box in the horizontal projection encloses sources included in the histogram in Figure 10. The path of an instrumented balloon is shown in the projections; the diamonds show the location of the balloon at the time of the flash.

[37] Flash D was detected by the NLDN as a single stroke negative CG flash; this is confirmed by the fast antenna data and is consistent with the LMA observations. The initial radiation source was detected at an altitude of 6.1 km, which was also the altitude of the maximum positive E measured during the balloon sounding 2.5 km to the east-northeast of the initial source. Negative polarity breakdown initially progressed downward and then horizontally to the northeast, over a 4 km distance between 4 and 5 km altitude. The breakdown passed about 1 km to the northwest and 0.7–1.7 km below the balloon location. This initial breakdown lasted for about 50 ms; comparisons with radar observations show that it propagated into the core of a heavily precipitating cell at its furthest extent. Subsequent to this, new breakdown began close to the initial radiation source. The new breakdown indicated the start of the stepped leader, which traveled directly downward to the ground and initiated the return stroke 35 ms later.

[38] Radiation sources associated with positive polarity breakdown were detected only after the return stroke, and for the remainder of the flash all of the sources were associated with positive polarity breakdown in the upper level of the flash. Two sets of branches simultaneously developed away from the initiation region in the upper level, one eastward and northeastward from the initiation region and the other northward from the initiation region. The eastward and northeastward branches passed 0.5–1 km above the balloon between 6.4 and 7.2 km altitude, then gradually descended to between 5.2 and 6.4 km altitude. The northward branch was between 6.0 and 6.5 km altitude.

[39] Figure 10 shows the comparison of the LMA sources with the inferred charge regions and potential profile from Figure 5. The LMA source-altitude histogram is for the portion of Flash D within the box shown in Figure 9. The box excludes mainly the vertical portions of Flash D in the initiation region 2–3 km west of the balloon and focuses on the upper and lower level horizontal branches that passed near the balloon. The resulting histogram shows two well-defined levels of activity. The upper level sources associated with positive polarity breakdown are between about 6.5 and 7.2 km altitude and were situated in the lower part of the potential well for positive charge centered at 7 km.

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the charge distribution, potential, and LMA sources of Flash D. On the left is the charge density and on the right is the voltage profile as shown in Figure 5. The graph in the middle is an altitude histogram of the sources from the box in Figure 9. The cross marks the altitude of the first LMA source and the likely location of flash initiation. The circle marks the altitude of the balloon at the time of the flash. As in Figure 3, the dotted lines (and cross-hatching) bounding the histogram peaks are included only to help compare the three graphs. For this flash, the upper region in the histogram is associated with positive polarity breakdown and the lower region with negative polarity breakdown.

[40] Like Flashes B and C, the positive polarity breakdown of Flash D overlapped both positive and negative charge seen by the balloon between 6.0 and 7.3 km altitude. Unlike Flashes B and C, whose breakdown traversed around the positive charge region, the Flash D breakdown propagated either through or close to the path of the balloon. The balloon did not reach the altitude of the positive charge until 2 min after Flash D, however, during which time two additional flashes occurred whose positive breakdown channels passed either through or close to the positive charge region. The positive charge was encountered by the balloon between about 6.8 and 7.2 km altitude shortly after Flash B, at 2254:27 UT. At this time, the balloon was directly above the Langmuir Annex LMA station (Figure 4). In addition to Flash D, the positive polarity breakdown of a bilevel IC flash at 2252:41 UT developed directly over the Annex station from the south, while that of a branch of a CG discharge at 2253:19 UT developed over the Annex station from the northeast. In all three instances, the altitude of the breakdown was the same as that of the positive charge (7 km). The flashes would have been expected to deposit positive charge along the positive polarity breakdown channels in question, so that any or all of the three flashes are likely to have been responsible for the positive charge subsequently seen by the balloon.

[41] The lower level sources of Flash D, associated with negative polarity breakdown, were between about 4 and 5.5 km altitude in the histogram of Figure 10. These sources partially overlapped the altitude range of positive charge seen along the balloon path but did not correspond to a well in the potential profile. Rather, the potential steadily increased from the ground up, due to E being positive all along the lower part of the balloon trajectory.

[42] To further understand the observations in the lower positive charge region, we have examined electric field measurements made at the ground beneath the storm. Figure 11 shows a 10-min interval of electric field data at two ground stations. The bottom record is from the “Annex” ground station, which was colocated with the Annex LMA station. This station was the southeastern-most of the two LMA stations shown in Figure 9, which served as the coordinate origin for the analyses. The balloon was located 0.7 km southeast of the Annex station and 2.5 km above it at the time of Flash D. The top record is from the “Kiva” station situated 1.8 km northwest of the Annex station, immediately north of the northwestern LMA station in Figure 9. The balloon was launched partway between the two sets of stations and drifted southeastward over the Annex site as it ascended into the base of the storm.

Details are in the caption following the image
Surface E and balloon altitude data from 31 July 1999, for the period 2248:00 to 2258:00 UT, which is the same period of the composite of 36 flashes shown later. Data were recorded before and during the field excursion associated with precipitation (FEAWP) that began at about 2249:30 UT. The times of Flashes B, C, and D are marked with arrows. All low-altitude flashes are marked (with asterisk for a low-altitude IC flash and CG for eight CG flashes). These measurements were taken at 10 Hz with electric field mills located at Langmuir Laboratory “Annex” station (0.0, 0.0) and “Kiva” station (−0.6, 1.7). Balloon altitude shown is for the sounding in Figure 5.

[43] At the time of Flash D, an electric “field excursion associated with precipitation” (or FEAWP) [Holden et al., 1983; Marshall and Winn, 1982] was occurring at the ground. As seen in Figure 11, the FEAWP caused the electric field at the ground to reverse from positive to negative polarity during the course of the balloon flight prior to Flash D. The field reversal occurred over an approximate 2 min interval between about 2249:00 and 2251:00 UT. A FEAWP is believed to result from an increase in the lower positive charge of a storm, causing E at the ground to be dominated by positive charge overhead rather than negative charge [Holden et al., 1983; Marshall and Winn, 1982]. FEAWPs are often interrupted by lightning-produced “lockovers” that cause the field to revert temporarily back to positive polarity, i.e., to return to being dominated by negative charge overhead.

[44] Flash D produced a lockover at the Annex station that lasted about 20 s. This is consistent with the LMA and sounding observations, which indicate that the flash deposited negative charge in the lower positive charge region near the Annex station. Wiens et al. [1999] and Wiens [2000] obtained similar results from a detailed study of LMA, ground electric field, and balloon observations in the early stages of the 25 July storm. Also, the sounding observations support the interpretation that FEAWPs are due to the presence of lower positive charge [Holden et al., 1983; Marshall and Winn, 1982]. Radar comparisons (not presented) show that the lower level breakdown of Flash D terminated in strong (50–55 dBZ) precipitation in a major convective cell northeast of the laboratory area, supporting the idea that the lower positive charge is associated with precipitation.

[45] The FEAWP caused the polarity of E to be negative over a wide area at the ground just prior to Flash D. At the same time, the polarity of E at the balloon location remained positive. The latter was a result of the balloon being in the upper part of the lower positive charge region, and below the main negative charge. Thus an instantaneous profile from the ground up to the balloon would have exhibited a change in the polarity of E at some height and therefore a potential maximum at that height. This is illustrated in Figure 12, which shows the balloon sounding data (E and V) from the ground to the altitude where Flash D occurred. The figure also shows a hypothetical sounding in which the E values have been shifted by −11 kV m−1 to give the measured E at the ground at the time of Flash D.

Details are in the caption following the image
Lower portion of the balloon sounding from the fourth balloon launched on 31 July 1999. On the right are the electric field (E) and potential (V) data, as shown in Figure 5, between launch (at 2246:53 UT) and Flash D (at 2252:26 UT). On the left is the hypothetical sounding, where the observed data are shifted by −11 kV m−1 to adjust the E at the ground in the sounding to match the measured E at the ground (shown in Figure 11) just before Flash D.

[46] The fact that E was negative at low altitudes results in the formation of a potential well for negative charge. As indicated in Figure 12, the potential well would have been relatively broad and not very deep, on the order of 10 MV. However, the depth is similar to that of the potential well in the upper positive charge region of the soundings of Figures 2 and 6, which was associated with the horizontal spreading of negative polarity breakdown in the upper levels of the IC flashes. A relatively broad and not very deep well is consistent with the development of the low level branch during Flash D and also with the fact that the channel eventually reached ground. The presence of the well would energetically favor horizontal lightning development and charge deposition through the lower positive charge region, just as the upper level channel of Flash D was energetically favored to travel through the midlevel potential well.

4.2. Flash E

[47] Our next CG example, shown in Figure 13, was a multiple stroke negative CG flash that occurred at 2226:26 UT on 31 July 1999, during the first balloon sounding made on that day. The balloon ascended along a nearly vertical path into a major lightning-producing storm directly above the laboratory area and extending to the north and northeast of the laboratory. Classic bilevel IC flashes were occurring about every 40 s directly over the laboratory area during the time of the balloon ascent. CG discharges were occurring about every 80 s immediately northeast and north of the laboratory.

Details are in the caption following the image
Flash E. This CG flash occurred at 2226:26 UT on 31 July 1999. As in Figure 1, the five graphs show LMA sources color-coded by time and with χv2 less than 2. The crosses mark the first LMA source. Triangles indicate nine ground strike locations in the NLDN data; these are color-coded by time, except in the horizontal plane where they are black. The box in the horizontal projection encloses sources included in the histogram in Figure 15. The path of an instrumented balloon is shown in the projections; the diamonds show the location of the balloon at the time of the flash.

[48] Flash E occurred as the IC activity started to wane overhead. The flash differed from the storm's preceding CG flashes in two ways: (1) it went to ground west of the laboratory area, and (2) its radiation sources did not indicate extensive horizontal breakdown at low levels (below 5.5 km altitude) in the process of going to ground. As seen in Figure 13, nine ground strokes were located by the NLDN during Flash E. The NLDN ground strike locations indicate multiple strike points close to the horizontal position of the initial radiation event, but each stroke was probably down the same channel to ground, as evidenced by the presence of only a single stepped leader in the LMA observations.

[49] The fast electric field observations (not presented) show that the stepped leader reached ground within 14 ms of the initial radiation source and that the first and second stroke of the flash were not located by the NLDN. The stepped leader therefore went directly to ground, along an essentially vertical channel. In the course of their development, the upper level channels progressed almost 15 km northward in the storm. The flash therefore was similar to the multiple-stroke discharges studied by Krehbiel et al. [1979], in which the horizontally progressing breakdown was the source of negative charge for the successive strokes to ground.

[50] The sounding data from the balloon are shown in Figure 14. The balloon stopped ascending at 7.2 km altitude, 43 s before Flash E, and had descended to 7.1 km altitude by the time of the flash. (It is not known why the balloon stopped rising; it was presumably ruptured by lightning or hail.) The occurrence of Flash E is not depicted in Figure 14, which shows only the ascent sounding. During its ascent, the balloon passed through apparent lower positive charge and at least part of a negative charge region.

Details are in the caption following the image
Sounding data from the first balloon launched on 31 July 1999. As in Figure 2, the graph on the left shows electric field (E), potential (V), temperature (T), and relative humidity with respect to ice (RHice). The graph on the right shows Ez and the charge density (εΔEzz) inferred from the sounding. Flash E occurred 43 s after the balloon burst at 7.2 km altitude.

[51] Figure 15 compares the radiation events from the inner box in Figure 13 to the inferred charge regions and potential profile (from Figure 14). In the upper level, positive polarity breakdown peaked at 7.0 km, consistent with the inferred altitude of negative charge and the potential well for negative charge. However, few or none of the radiation sources were associated with horizontal branching in the inferred lower positive charge. The basic question posed by Flash E is why such branching at low levels did not occur.

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the charge distribution, potential, and LMA sources of Flash E. On the left is the charge density and on the right is the voltage sounding from Figure 14. The graph in the middle shows an altitude histogram of the sources in the box in Figure 13. The cross indicates the altitude of the first LMA source and the likely altitude of flash initiation. The circle marks the altitude of the balloon at the time of the flash (although the balloon was descending by then). As in Figure 3, the dotted lines (and cross-hatching) bounding the histogram peaks are included only to help compare the three graphs. For this flash, the upper region in the histogram is associated with positive polarity breakdown and the lower region with negative polarity breakdown.

[52] An analysis of the complete sequence of lightning around the time of Flash E shows that the region of lower level LMA activity during the preceding CG flashes was relatively localized immediately northeast and north of the laboratory area, and that the sounding balloon ascended through the edge of this activity. Based on the restricted horizontal extent of the lightning activity, it is likely that the lower positive charge encountered during the sounding did not extend westward to the vicinity of Flash E's channel to ground. Additional evidence of horizontal (or temporal) variability comes from the fact that the initial radiation source of Flash E was located at 6.6 km altitude, while the strongest electric field measured during the sounding was at 5.5 km.

[53] The lack of lower level horizontal branching during Flash E would also be consistent with the ground electric field data, which indicated that a FEAWP was not being produced below the lower positive charge of the sounding and therefore no potential well existed that would have influenced such development. Finally, some of the E increase measured by the balloon as it ascended into the storm may not have been caused by lower positive charge, but by the balloon approaching localized charge higher in the storm or by the ongoing field increases associated with the charging process in the storm.

4.3. Flash F

[54] Our final example, shown in Figure 16, is of a negative CG flash that occurred at 2001:13 UT on 25 July 1999, in the storm that produced Flash A. Flash F occurred 3 min before Flash A while the balloon was ascending through negative charge at 5.6 km altitude in the sounding of Figure 2. Both flashes produced substantial field changes at the balloon that are marked on the sounding. Like Flash A, Flash F originated in a cell 2–3 km east of Langmuir Laboratory and produced a horizontal branch that propagated westward close to the sounding balloon. Radar comparisons show that the radiation sources during the first 100 ms of the flash were concentrated in and around the precipitation core of the eastern cell.

Details are in the caption following the image
Flash F. This CG flash occurred at 2001:13 UT on 25 July 1999. As in Figure 1, the five graphs show LMA sources color-coded by time and with χv2 less than 2. The crosses mark the first LMA source. Triangles indicate three ground strike locations in the NLDN data; these are color-coded by time, except in the horizontal plane where they are black. The box in the horizontal projection encloses sources included in the histogram in Figure 17. The path of an instrumented balloon is shown in the projections; the diamonds show the location of the balloon at the time of the flash.

[55] The initially located radiation source of Flash F was at the same altitude, 5.2 km, as the peak in the positive E values seen during the balloon sounding (Figure 2). The height-time panel in Figure 16 shows that three ground strokes occurred during the first 100 ms of the flash. Each stroke was preceded by downward developing radiation sources indicative of a new channel to ground. Fast electric field change data confirmed the development of a fourth channel to ground later in the flash, at 2001:14.00 UT, associated with the descending radiation sources immediately prior to that time. The first return stroke occurred within 5 ms of the start of the flash, indicating that its leader appeared to go directly to ground. The descending negative leaders for the subsequent channels exhibited a larger number of radiation sources and took longer to reach ground, sometimes traveling horizontally for a kilometer or more before coming to ground.

[56] Subsequent to the third return stroke, two horizontal branches of positive polarity breakdown developed away from the initiation region of the channels to ground. The branches are best seen in the plan view of Figure 16. Like Flash A, the first branch propagated westward close to and past the balloon location; the second branch propagated northwestward, into the remnants of an earlier cell. Although they were at similar altitudes, the positive polarity branches of Flash A constituted the lower level breakdown of that IC flash, while those of Flash F constituted the upper level breakdown of the CG flash.

[57] Figure 17 compares the source-altitude histogram from the portion of Flash F closest to the balloon (the inner box in Figure 16) with the inferred charge regions and potential profile from Figure 2. A larger number of sources were located in the upper level of Flash F than in the lower level of Flash A; however, in both instances their heights agreed with the altitude of negative charge and with the altitude of the potential minimum as inferred from the balloon data. The lower level sources in Figure 17 were at and below the altitude of positive charge inferred from the balloon sounding, but were 2–4 km east of the balloon's trajectory.

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the charge distribution, potential, and LMA sources of Flash F. On the left is the charge density and on the right is the voltage profile from Figure 2. The graph in the middle is an altitude histogram of the sources within the box in Figure 16. The cross in the middle graph marks the altitude of the first LMA source and the likely location of flash initiation. The circle marks the altitude of the balloon at the time of the flash. As in Figure 3, the dotted lines (and cross-hatching) bounding the histogram peaks are included only to help compare the three graphs. For this flash, the upper region in the histogram is associated with positive polarity breakdown and the lower region with negative polarity breakdown.

[58] The upper level branch of positive polarity breakdown that passed near the balloon was incompletely located after it passed west of the balloon but was well located near the balloon. Detailed analysis of the radiation sources in the vicinity of the balloon shows that the branch traveled horizontally between 5.4 and 5.5 km altitude, i.e., slightly below the balloon altitude of 5.6 km, and about 0.2 km immediately northeast of the balloon. Flash F changed the vertical electric field at the balloon from −59 to −10 kV m−1 and eliminated a substantial horizontal field component that had developed as the balloon rose above 5.4 km altitude. These results are qualitatively consistent with the branch adding positive charge below and off to the side of the balloon's location. Ez at the balloon went through zero at 5.5 km altitude, indicating that the potential well for positive charge was locally at the same altitude, and in excellent agreement with the altitude of the positive breakdown. The polarity transition in Ez occurred in the presence of a significant horizontal component of E (Eh about 20–25 kV m−1), indicating that V also varied horizontally.

[59] Observations from a second sounding balloon at an altitude of 5.1 km almost directly below the first balloon showed that E was saturated, corresponding to an electric field of at least +220 kV m−1, and consistent with the second balloon being slightly below strong negative charge. Flash F reduced E at the second balloon to +25 kV m−1, consistent with positive charge having been added above the balloon.

[60] The simultaneous E measurements from the two balloons give information about the time independent V profile in the cloud. Using the 1-D approximation to Gauss's law, ΔEz equaled or exceeded −280 kV m−1 over a vertical distance of 500 m, corresponding to a negative charge density of at least −5 nC m−3 between the altitudes of the two balloons. (Since the earlier balloon recorded only 60 kV m−1 at 5.1 km altitude (Figure 2), it appears that the charge responsible for the 220 kV m−1 field was either localized or not present earlier. Either of these possibilities could explain the difference between the −5 nC m−3 just calculated and the −3 nC m−3 shown in Figure 2.) Also, the opposite polarity of Ez at the two balloons further confirms the existence of a well in the vertical potential profile between 5.1 and 5.6 km altitude. Thus the time-independent data indicate that the positive polarity branch of Flash E traveled through a region of dense negative charge near the altitude of a potential minimum.

[61] Ground measurements at four locations beneath the lower part of the balloon trajectory showed positive E values prior to Flash F ranging from +4 to +8 kV m−1, that is, dominated by negative charge overhead. Due to the relatively low lightning rate, the ground E values were approximately steady leading up to both Flashes F and A, as a result of the field being limited by corona from the earth's surface. Both Flashes F and A produced substantial negative field changes (−10 to −20 kV m−1) at each of the ground stations, consistent with the deposition of positive charge overhead by the positive polarity breakdown of the flashes. The fact that the field change of Flash F was negative (rather than positive as in the “lockover” change of Flash D) is consistent with its lower level breakdown being east and northeast of the ground stations and not having extended into the lower positive charge seen along the balloon path.

[62] Flash F differed from CG Flashes D and E in that it developed several channels to ground. As noted earlier, the fast antenna and LMA data for Flash F showed evidence of four return strokes, each along different channels, three of which were located by the NLDN. This is contrasted with Flash E, which produced 11 or more strokes apparently down a single channel to ground. Like Flash E, the initial stroke of Flash F went quickly to ground. However, the LMA observations and NLDN locations indicate that the subsequent strokes were along different paths to ground. The negative breakdown for each of the strokes was spatially widespread and “noisy” looking, characteristic of stepped leaders and also indicating the occurrence of lower level breakdown in the process of going to ground.

[63] As noted, for example, by Uman [1987], it is common for CG flashes to develop multiple channels to ground. The question is why this happens. A partial answer to the question has been suggested by multistation electric field change measurements of lightning [Krehbiel, 1981]. The results show that, as a stroke begins to die out, negative charge continues to flow into the upper part of the channel to ground but does not reach ground. The channel appears to cut off from the ground up and to become “filled up” with negative charge as it does so, tending to cause the subsequent leader to take a different path to ground.

[64] The above argument is readily cast in terms of electric potential. As the channel to ground cuts off, the presumed flow of negative charge into the channel would tend to charge the upper part of the channel to the potential of the negative charge region. The result would make it energetically favorable for a subsequent leader to break down a new path to ground rather than follow the previous path. In Flash F, the new leaders to ground showed evidence of substantial branching while the initial leader did not. This would be consistent with the initial stroke reversing the polarity of the field at the ground and developing a potential well associated with lower positive charge.

5. Six-Minute Composite of Flashes

[65] In this section we present another way of comparing the altitudes of horizontal lightning branches to the balloon data. Figure 18 shows the LMA activity from the flashes that had at least 50 radiation sources within a 6 km × 6 km horizontal area during a 6 min interval on 31 July 1999. The interval in time (2252:00–2258:00 UT) and the area in space were chosen to coincide with part of the balloon sounding in Figure 5, and include Flashes B, C, and D of the previous sections. During these 6 min, the balloon ascended from 5.4 to 9.3 km; this altitude range includes most of the inferred charge regions, the deepest potential well, and the negative and positive E peaks associated with the initiation of the IC and CG flashes. The balloon's path was approximately from southeast to northwest through the center of the area.

Details are in the caption following the image
Composite of LMA data for 31 July 1999, 2252:00 through 2258:00 UT. These 27 normal IC flashes and 9 CG and low-altitude IC flashes occurred near the sounding shown in Figure 5. The 6 km × 6 km region shown is centered roughly on the balloon path during the time of the flashes. As in Figure 1, the five graphs show LMA sources with χv2 less than 2. The balloon path is shown in the projections. The two diamonds on the balloon path mark the beginning and end of the time interval. Triangles indicate locations of ground strikes detected by the NLDN.

[66] During the 6 min time interval, portions or all of 36 flashes passed through the volume depicted in Figure 18; 27 of these were bilevel IC flashes that exhibited negative polarity breakdown above positive polarity breakdown. We will refer to these as normal IC flashes. (Flashes B and C were 2 of the 27 normal IC flashes in the 6-min interval.) The nine remaining flashes were low-altitude flashes whose radiation sources developed below 5 km altitude and are readily identified in the upper panel of Figure 18. Eight of these were negative polarity CG flashes (including Flash D), and the remaining flash was a low-altitude IC flash. (Five of the eight CG flashes were detected by the NLDN, two were identified from fast electric field change waveforms, and the last identification was based on the LMA data in the absence of triggered fast electric field waveforms.) The low-altitude IC flash was similar to the negative CG flashes except that it did not appear to go to ground. It was inverted in polarity from normal IC flashes at higher altitudes in that negative charge was effectively lowered rather than raised in the cloud. Also, the radiation sources were confined below 8 km altitude.

[67] The vertical projections of Figure 18 show three levels of radiation events; these produced peaks in the altitude histogram at about 9.6, 7.4, and 4.6 km. In Figure 19, the altitudes of the radiation sources are compared with the inferred charge and potential profiles from the sounding of Figure 5. Separate LMA source-altitude histograms are presented for the 27 IC flashes and for the 9 CG and low-altitude IC flashes. The separate histograms show that the midlevel sources comprised two distinct regions, an upper region associated with the normal IC flashes and a lower region associated with the CG and low-altitude IC flashes.

Details are in the caption following the image
Comparison of the charge distribution, potential, and LMA sources of the 36 flashes shown in Figure 18. On the far left is the charge density and on the far right is the voltage profile from the balloon sounding shown in Figure 5. The two graphs in the middle show altitude histograms of the LMA sources in Figure 18. The histogram on the left shows the LMA sources of the 27 normal IC flashes, and the histogram on the right shows the LMA sources for the 8 CG flashes and one low-altitude IC flash. As in Figure 3, the dotted lines (and cross-hatching) bounding the four histogram peaks are placed arbitrarily and are included only to help compare the different graphs. The “1” and “2” mark the balloon altitude at the beginning and end of the 6 min interval, respectively.

[68] Two main regions of LMA activity are evident in the source-altitude histograms of the normal IC flashes. From examining the individual IC flashes, the lower region of the LMA activity was associated with positive polarity breakdown in the lower level of the flashes. The larger number of sources in the upper region was associated with negative polarity breakdown in the upper level of the flashes. The lower level sources extended from about 6.5 to 8.2 km altitude with a peak at 7.6 km and were predominantly in the upper half of the potential well associated with midlevel negative charge in the storm. The upper level sources extended from about 8.8 to 10.4 km altitude with a peak at 9.6 km and were centered in the potential well associated with positive charge at this altitude in the upper part of the storm.

[69] The LMA activity of the low-altitude flashes is similarly divided into two regions: an upper level region associated with positive polarity breakdown and a lower level region associated with negative polarity breakdown. Identification of the two regions is not as clear as for the normal IC flashes due to the smaller separation between the levels and to inclusion of the radiation sources associated with negative leaders to ground. The upper level sources extended from about 5.9 to 7.0 km altitude and peaked at about 6.1 km. These sources were predominantly in the lower half of the potential well associated with the negative charge. The lower level sources are a combination of horizontal breakdown in the lower part of the storm and the mostly vertical leaders to ground. As discussed in connection with Flash D, these sources are associated with an inferred potential well associated with lower positive charge in the storm. The lower positive charge caused the field at the ground to be reversed in polarity from that observed at the beginning of the sounding.

[70] The sounding observations showed a complex charge structure in the middle and upper parts of the storm, so that the relation between the LMA activity and the charge regions is unclear. At the storm midlevels, dominant negative charge was interspersed with two regions of positive charge, while in the upper part of the storm the sounding showed alternating positive and negative charge regions. As discussed in connection with Flash D, the positive charge at 7.0 km altitude in the sounding was in a region traversed by the positive polarity breakdown of several flashes and probably resulted from charge deposition by one or more of these flashes. The final instance of this was a CG flash at 2253:19 UT, about 1 min before passage of the balloon through the region. For a period of time, subsequent flashes (including the lower level channels of Flashes B and C) appeared to avoid the location where the balloon passed through the positive charge. The positive charge was in the bottom of the negative potential well at 7 km altitude and produced a 10 MV “bump” in the bottom of the well; these results are consistent with the expectation that it would be energetically favorable for positive breakdown to propagate in a potential minimum and deposit charge in the minimum. Subsequent breakdown would have avoided this region because of the increased potential of the bump.

[71] In comparing the LMA activity with the charge structure, therefore, it is necessary to take the spatial structure and temporal variation of the charge regions into account, and to recognize that the effect of lightning is to alter the charge structure. For example, it is likely that the embedded region of positive charge at 7.5 km altitude was the result of lightning charge deposition. The smaller number of radiation events from positive polarity breakdown often caused the positive channels of flashes to be incompletely located, but at least one flash produced positive breakdown through the general area traversed by the balloon at 7.5 km altitude (an IC flash at 2255:27 UT).

[72] A significant feature of the LMA source-altitude histograms in Figure 19 is the tendency for the midlevel positive polarity breakdown sources of the IC and CG flashes to be segregated into the upper and lower parts of the negative potential well. The lower level sources of the normal IC flashes tended to be in the upper part of the negative potential well (above 7 km), while the upper level sources of the CG flashes tended to be in the lower part of the well (below 7 km). Detailed examination of the individual flash data during the 6 min sequence has shown that the sources in question were associated with positive polarity breakdown and were not “contaminated” by sources from negative polarity breakdown.

[73] As indicated in Figure 19 and substantiated by the detailed flash analyses, the altitude segregation was not absolute. About half of the IC flashes had positive breakdown sources in both the upper and lower parts of the negative potential well. Some of these IC flashes had only a couple of sources in the lower part of the well; for the remaining IC flashes the lower level sources were confined to the upper part of the well. The CG flashes were also about equally split between having their sources span the well or being confined to the lower part. These results are reflected in the overlap in the two histograms around 7 km altitude in Figure 19. However, in spite of there being some overlap by individual flashes, the segregation of the IC and CG sources was physically significant.

[74] The basic reasons for the segregation are discussed in the next, final section of the paper. They have to do with the tendency for succeeding flashes to avoid volumes penetrated by previous flashes and with a tendency for breakdown propagating vertically upward (or downward) to spread out horizontally in the charge region before reaching the exact bottom of the corresponding potential well.

[75] As an aside, we note that most of the CG flashes during the 6-min sequence initiated “lockovers” in the electric field at the ground beneath the storm during an overall FEAWP condition. The lockovers are seen in Figure 11 as positive-going changes that reverse the polarity of the field from negative to positive. The field remained positive for several tens of seconds before being terminated by a subsequent flash. This observation supports the idea that some CG and low-altitude IC flashes effectively discharge lower positive charge in the storm. In particular, the lockovers were initiated when lower level, negative polarity breakdown of a CG or low-altitude IC flash developed horizontally over the ground E station. Prior to each lockover flash, E at the ground was dominated by the lower positive charge, making E negative and creating a potential well for negative charge at low altitudes. Subsequent to each lockover flash, the positive charge was reduced by the lightning, causing E at the ground to be dominated by negative charge overhead. The lockovers occurred at one or both of the ground stations shown in Figure 11, depending on the location and extent of the lockover flash's lower level breakdown. The lockovers were terminated by one or two normal IC flashes, which effectively reduced the midlevel negative charge, causing E at the ground to again be dominated by the lower positive charge (or by corona near the Earth's surface).

6. Summary and Discussion

[76] The basic question investigated in this study has been how lightning is influenced by the electrical structure of a storm. This has been studied by comparing 3-D observations of the lightning structure with balloon soundings of electric field, electric potential, and charge through the storms. We have focused on comparing the altitudes of horizontal lightning branches with the sounding data by examining situations where nearby cells were producing horizontal channels over the Langmuir Laboratory area where the balloon soundings were made. The results are important to the issue raised by Vonnegut [1983] of how well lightning reflects the charge structure of a storm.

[77] The comparisons consistently show good agreement between the heights of the horizontal lightning channels and the altitudes of potential extrema or wells obtained from the sounding measurements. Because a potential well of a given polarity is produced by dominant charge of the same polarity, the heights of the lightning channels also agree with the altitudes of dominant charge in the storm. The upper and lower levels of breakdown in bilevel IC flashes were found to be at the same altitudes as the potential wells associated with dominant positive charge in the upper part of a storm and with dominant negative charge at the middle level in a storm. Similarly, the midlevel breakdown of negative CG flashes was at the same altitude as the midlevel well associated with dominant negative charge. Most of the CG flashes studied also exhibited breakdown at lower altitude that was found to be correlated with positive charge and an inferred potential well in the lower part of the storm. The results were obtained both for individual flashes and for groups of flashes, and in situations having different lightning rates and heights of the charge regions.

[78] The above results make physical sense. As discussed in the introduction, lightning will be energetically favored to propagate through regions of extrema in the electric potential. From Poisson's equation, extrema in V also correspond to regions of net charge. Lightning will cause the greatest reduction in the storm's electrostatic energy and thereby have a maximum amount of energy available for its development when the channels deposit charge within rather than outside regions of net charge. While a discharge does not necessarily have to maximize its energy, it is likely to do so, and this expectation is supported by the results of the present study.

[79] The relation between the lightning and the storm charges is less clear when the altitudes of the horizontal lightning channels are compared with the detailed charge structures observed during the soundings. The reason is that the observed charge structures were complex, even in the relatively small storms of this study. Both the middle and upper parts of the storms exhibited interspersed regions of positive and negative charge (Figures 2 and 5). The altitudes of the horizontal lightning channels often overlapped adjacent regions of both positive and negative charge seen along the sounding path, or only partially overlapped charge of the appropriate polarity (Figures 3, 6, 8, and 10, and the composite comparisons of Figure 19).

[80] Several reasons were found for the apparent inconsistencies in the detailed charge comparisons. These have to do with the time-skewed nature of the soundings and with the fact that the charge structure observed along the balloon path does not necessarily extend horizontally through the storm. In the 25 July sounding of Figure 2, the negative charge encountered at 6.5 km altitude was associated with a sudden change in slope of the E profile at the time of Flash A, and as a result appeared to be deposited there by Flash A. The upper level, negative polarity breakdown of the flash passed close by and immediately above the sounding balloon and would have been expected to deposit negative charge along its path. This is apparently what happened. The negative charge is included within the altitude range of the upper level sources for Flash A in Figure 3, but rather than being an inconsistent feature of the comparisons it reinforces the idea that the lightning and charge are closely related (section 3.1). The charge was deposited in the bottom of the potential well for negative charge observed at that altitude, as would be expected from energy considerations. The effect of the deposited charge on the sounding was to produce a perturbation in the potential at the bottom of the well.

[81] The sounding of 31 July (Figure 5) showed a deep potential well centered at 7 km altitude that was associated with dominant midlevel negative charge in the storm. Instead of being entirely negative, however, the sounding showed interspersed regions of negative and positive charge. The midlevel breakdown of CG Flash D passed through or close to the lower of the two interspersed positive charge regions from the sounding, and this is reflected in an overlapping of the radiation sources of the breakdown with adjacent positive and negative charge at and below 7 km altitude in the comparisons of Figure 10. However, the sounding balloon did not reach the altitude of the positive charge until 2 min after Flash D. In the interim, positive polarity breakdown of two additional flashes passed through the location where the positive charge was subsequently encountered during the sounding. Such breakdown would be expected to deposit positive charge along its path, and this is consistent with what was observed in the sounding. It is thus likely that some or all of the positive charge encountered at 7 km altitude was deposited there subsequent to Flash D (and possibly by Flash D), prior to the balloon reaching 7 km. As before, the positive charge was deposited at the bottom of the negative potential well inferred from the sounding data, as expected from energy considerations, where it caused a significant 10 MV bump in the potential profile.

[82] Intracloud Flash B occurred about 2 min after Flash D, subsequent to the positive charge being deposited through the sounding path. From Figure 6, the midlevel breakdown of Flash B again appeared to overlap the deposited positive charge and adjacent negative charge. However, the LMA source locations indicate that the breakdown channel (which was also of positive polarity) did not come closer than about 1 km to the location where the balloon encountered the positive charge (Figure 4). Flash C behaved similarly, 1.3 min later (Figures 7 and 8). The conclusion from this, and from the similar behavior of other flashes around the same time, is that the lightning channels avoid regions where net charge was deposited during previous flashes. The result that the positive polarity breakdown of Flashes B and C traveled at the same altitude but horizontally displaced from similar breakdown of the previous flashes indicates that the charge deposited by the earlier flashes was relatively localized.

[83] The above results indicate how it has been important to take the 3-D nature and temporal aspects of the observations into account in comparing the lightning and charge structures. On the one hand, a substantial degree of horizontal symmetry and temporal stability is found in the observations. This is evidenced by agreement between the heights of lightning initiation and E maxima measured several kilometers away (and several minutes different in time) during the soundings. The horizontal symmetry is also evidenced in the agreement between the altitudes of horizontal lightning branches and the charge and potential structures over similar horizontal distances and time intervals. However, the observations also provide clear evidence of horizontal structure and temporal variability.

[84] The observations also indicate the manner in which lightning affects the charge structure of a storm. In particular, lightning appears to deposit charge of the opposite polarity in relatively localized regions of both the midlevel negative and upper positive charges and at the approximate altitude of the potential extrema associated with these charges. Rather than simply “neutralizing” or offsetting the storm charge in the vicinity of a lightning channel, the volume charge densities of the deposited charge are comparable in magnitude to those of the preexisting charge. This indicates that “excess” charge is capacitively induced on the lightning channels as they progress through a charge region, consistent with basic theoretical expectations that this should happen [e.g., Kasemir, 1960; Mazur and Ruhnke, 1993]. The excess charge is reflected in a modified potential distribution that affects the propagation of subsequent discharges.

[85] The net effect of the lightning charge deposition is to make the charge structure of a storm more complex. Again, these results make physical sense. In addition, they answer the question raised by Vonnegut [1983] about how the location of charge deposited by lightning compares to the location of preexisting charge in the storm. The results also explain a frequently observed feature of the mapping observations, which is that subsequent lightning flashes tend to avoid volumes of space involved in preceding flashes.

[86] The results indicate that the ∼10 MV potential perturbation typically observed in the charge deposition regions is sufficient to prevent subsequent discharges from repenetrating the region until the potential is further modified or restored. This was initially somewhat surprising in view of the expectation [e.g., Kasemir, 1960; Bazelyan and Raizer, 2000] that the potential of the lightning channel is similar to that at the flash initiation location, and thus would be several tens of mega volts greater than that of its surroundings by the time the channel develops into a potential minimum. A corollary to the above would be that localized minima or extrema of similar magnitude (such as seen above and below the bump at 7 km altitude in Figure 5) would tend to attract lightning channels and branches.

[87] The above ideas and results help explain two aspects of the comparisons between the lightning and the potential profiles. The first of these comes from the results presented in Figure 19 and concerns the segregation of the midlevel breakdown of IC and CG flashes into the upper and lower parts of the overall potential well associated with the dominant negative charge at midlevel altitudes. The same result has been obtained in other storms but is inconsistent with the idea that the breakdown should propagate in the “bottom” of the potential well (and with other observational findings from this study indicating that it does). The segregation is consistent with the tendency (described above) for successive flashes to avoid regions involved in preceding flashes. As the charge distribution changes, the electric potential would be expected to change from flash to flash, as well as during a given flash. The bump observed in the bottom of the potential well at 7 km altitude is an example of how lightning changes the electrical structure to influence subsequent flashes and cause segregation to occur.

[88] The second aspect of the potential and lightning comparisons, also seen in Figure 19, concerns the substantial amount of radiation activity associated with negative polarity breakdown in the lower levels of the CG and low-altitude IC flashes. This occurred in the absence of a potential well in the sounding data and has been discussed in detail in connection with Flash D, where it was shown that a potential well necessarily existed at the time of the flashes due to the development of a field reversal at the ground subsequent to the balloon launch. The inferred potential well would have been relatively broad and shallow, on the order of 10 MV or so. However, as discussed above, potential wells of this magnitude can be important in causing horizontal development and branching of a discharge. The relative shallowness of the well is also consistent with the fact that low-altitude flashes usually propagate on through the lower positive charge region to ground.

[89] A particular issue in the study has been the relative importance of potential wells and of charge in influencing the horizontal development of a discharge. This “influence” question arises because charge will always be present in a 3-D well associated with a potential extremum, but the inverse is not necessarily true. From Poisson's equation, charge produces curvature in the 3-D potential function but not necessarily an extremum. An extremum is produced when E reverses polarity in going through a charge region, which will not necessarily happen.

[90] The above issue has been highlighted by the lower positive charge observations and by the segregation of the IC/CG activity at the storm midlevels. Concerning the lower positive charge observations, a particular question has been whether the electric field at the ground needs to be reversed in polarity (i.e., dominated by the lower positive charge) in order for horizontal branching to occur. In other words, does the lower positive charge have to produce a vertical potential well for low level horizontal branching to occur? Concerning the midlevel observations, the question has been whether the IC/CG segregation is the result of branching upon entering the charge region or the breakdown experiencing the rising potential on the opposite side of a well (either the overall well or perturbations caused by embedded positive charge).

[91] The following summarizes how the above issues and questions have been resolved. As a vertically developing breakdown channel propagates into a horizontally distributed charge region (e.g., into midlevel negative charge either from above or below, or into lower positive charge from above), the subsequent development of the discharge will be determined by the direction of the steepest potential gradient (i.e., electric field) seen by the developing leader of the discharge [e.g., Bazelyan and Raizer, 2000]. Because the leader channel will be at approximately the same potential as the flash initiation point, the potential difference between the leader and its surroundings will typically be quite large, on the order of tens of mega volts or more.

[92] Horizontal branching and development will occur when the lateral fall off, or gradient, of the potential exceeds the fall off, or gradient, in the forward (vertical) propagation direction. Two effects will or can cause this to happen. The first is that the rate of change of the forward gradient decreases as the breakdown approaches the point of minimum potential (i.e., the well) in the vertical direction. In particular, the rate of change goes to zero at the bottom of the potential well. Unless the horizontal gradient of the ambient potential is zero, the lateral fall off will always begin to exceed the forward fall off before the vertical minimum is reached. (This is just another way of stating that the discharge will tend to propagate in the direction of the 3-D potential minimum.) In principle, therefore, horizontal propagation can occur in the absence of a well. An important point in this regard is that the rate of change of the forward gradient intensifies upon entering a charge region due to the resultant decrease in the forward electric field component.

[93] The second effect occurs when the vertical breakdown is horizontally displaced from the 3-D minimum of any potential well in the charge region which it enters. In this case the lateral gradient will increase with vertical penetration while at the same time the forward gradient is decreasing. Again, the effect becomes more pronounced once the breakdown enters the charge region.

[94] The net result of the two effects is that horizontal propagation will usually occur somewhat prior to the breakdown reaching the vertical potential minimum, depending upon the strength of the horizontal potential gradient. Stated another way, the horizontal propagation will tend to occur on the “near” side of the vertical potential well, i.e., on the side nearest to the other half of the lightning discharge.

[95] The above results represent a modification of the effect of potential wells on lightning in a vertical-horizontal framework. The framework is a simplification but it is validated by the fact that discharges usually or often develop vertically and then horizontally in a storm. Such development reflects the tendency for the storm charges to be horizontally distributed and the electric fields usually or often to be predominantly vertical. It is also the basic reason why useful information about a storm's electrical structure is obtained from vertical soundings interpreted in a 1-D framework.

[96] In terms of the observations of this study, the tendency for horizontal branching to develop on the nearside of the vertical potential minimum provides another explanation of the IC/CG segregation effect discussed above that would operate in the absence of tendency of lightning to avoid the channels of preceding discharges. In addition, it should be possible for CG discharges to develop horizontal breakdown into horizontally displaced lower positive charge without a vertical potential well being present. From a practical standpoint, it may be that a potential well is present in most physical situations when a discharge develops horizontally. The presence of a well would certainly enhance such development.

[97] Another issue that has been unresolved in thunderstorm electrification studies concerns the dichotomy between the basic charge structure inferred from lightning observations and that observed during in situ sounding measurements. As illustrated in this study, lightning observations exhibit a trilevel structure consistent with the idea that storms have a basic trilevel charge structure [e.g., Krehbiel, 1986; Williams, 1989]. Such a structure is understood to have an upper level negative screening charge, but the screening charge is typically not involved in lightning discharges. On the other hand, as also illustrated in this study, sounding observations outside updrafts typically and consistently show a more complex charge structure indicative of six or more charge regions or layers [e.g., Stolzenburg et al., 1998c].

[98] The electric potential profiles bridge the gap between the above, seemingly disparate sets of observations. In particular, by being related to integrals of the charge distribution, the potential profiles show the overall nature of the charge structure. The potential profiles of this study show two main wells, and a third can often be inferred from ground E measurements. These results are consistent with the trilevel structure inferred from lightning and have been obtained in storms that exhibit the added complexity of multiple charge regions. The complexity is explained at least in part by the way lightning deposits charge within a storm.

[99] Within the limitations of the observations, the lightning structure and development correlates well both with regions of net charge in a storm and with a storm's potential structure. The results show that the entire complexity of the charge structure is not revealed by the lightning, but support the assumption by Shao and Krehbiel [1996] and others that the lightning channels indicate the presence of net charge in a storm. Thus lightning observations provide a useful tool for studying the charge structure and electrification processes in storms.

[100] The main aim of this study has been to determine what controls where various branches of a lightning flash go inside and outside of a thunderstorm. An important quantity in influencing lightning propagation seems to be the wells in the electric potential, associated with substantial charges. The findings also help explain the electrical complexity often found within a storm. The major results of this study are summarized above and, more succinctly, in the Abstract. Additional studies are planned to understand further the relationship between lightning activity, charge and potential, and to extend the comparisons to storm structure, microphysics, and dynamics.

Acknowledgments

[101] We appreciate the people who assisted us to carry out the SEET field program including: Bill Winn, Steve Hunyady, Graydon Aulich, Sandy Kieft, Kara Nabor, Emily Riddle, Janine Galeski, Jeremiah Harlin, and Mark Stanley (from Langmuir Laboratory); Dave Rust, Aaron Bansemer, and Ivy Winger (from NSSL); Terry Hock, Dean Lauritsen, Errol Korn, and Chip Owen (from NCAR/ATD); and Kim Whicker, Kevin Young, Vera Sazanova, and Wes Shroyer (from the University of Mississippi). Jennifer McGuire's able assistance in data analysis is gratefully acknowledged. Bill Winn provided the surface electric field data and many useful comments on earlier versions of this manuscript. This research was supported in part by NSF grants ATM-9626542 and ATM-0220842.