Academia.eduAcademia.edu
Between the Adriatic and the Caspian Sea. Socio-Environmental Perspectives on the Crisis of the 14th Century from the Former Byzantine and Future Ottoman Imperial Spheres Conference “The Phase of Catastrophe: The Crisis of the 14th Century in AfroEurasian Context”, Hokkaido University, Slavic-Eurasian Research Center (SRC) Johannes Preiser-Kapeller, Austrian Academy of Sciences The “Roman Climate Optimum”, the “Late Antique Cold Period”, the “Medieval Warm Period” and the “Little Ice Age” in 2005 “Medieval Warm Period” “Roman Climate Optimum” “Late Antique Cold Period” “Little Ice Age” Northern Hemisphere Temperatures (200-2000 CE) (Winter Temperatures (1961-90 = 0); from: E. LO CASCIO – P. MALANIMA, Cycles and Stability. Italian Population before the Demographic Transition (225 B. C.–A. D. 1900). Rivista di Storia Economica 21/3 (2005) Regional differences in the manifestation of the global climate trend: from the “Medieval Warm Period” to the “Medieval Climate Anomaly” (MCA) 3 No coherent „Medieval Warm Period“ even in Western Europe between 900 and 1300 CE 4 Temporal differences in the regional development of global climate trends Neukom et al. (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1401-2) 5 The transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age in the 13th-15th c. Campbell 2016 Campbell 2016 6 E. Xoplaki et al., Modelling Climate and Societal Resilience in the Eastern Mediterranean in the Last Millennium. Human Ecology (2018) 46, pp. 363–379 7 Precipitation reconstructions from tree ring data from the hinterland of Antalya 14 The different regional vulnerabilities to drought in Anatolia Long term mean annual precipitation in Turkey The spatial extent of droughts in Turkey, 1930-1947 (Hütteroth 1982) 15 The Mongol invasion, famine in the Seljuk Sultanate and prosperity in the Empire of Nicaea, 1243 In addition, to the advantage of the Romans, the Turks were hit by a severe famine [limos ischyros] and a major shortage [spanis megiste] of necessities at the time. All the roads that led to the Roman Empire were filled with the coming and going of this people, men, women and children. In great abundance, the wealth of the Turks emptied into the hands of the Romans, gold and silver, clothing and everything else that had to offer pleasure and luxury in every form. You could see how valuable things were put down for a bit of grain/food [sitos] as a purchase price. Every bird, every cow and every little goat was paid dearly in those days. In this way, in no time at all, the houses of the Romans were filled with the wealth of the barbarians, and the imperial treasuries in particular were overflowing with money. To illustrate with a small example: the men who managed the emperor's poultry collected and sold the laid eggs year after year. This brought in so much money in a short time that a crown could be made for the empress, which was set with colored gemstones and pearls. And the emperor gave this crown the name egg crown, because it was made with the proceeds from the sale of eggs. Nikephoros Gregoras (ed. Ludwig Schopen, Bonn 1827, I, p. 42-43) on a famine in the Seljuk Sultanate in 1243 and the import of foodstuff from Nicaean territories (cf. also Telelis 2004, nr. 604) Nilometer Cairo 1202 https://rpubs.com/CLICAB/573291 1231 1295 1360 1373 1404 Drought and famine in Mamluk Egypt and Syria, 1295-1297, and help from Byzantium When the Christians lost Acre [in 1291] and its surroundings it happened that the Lord afflicted Egypt with a great plague of famine (tanta … plaga famis), for the river Nile had not flooded for three years, so that the Saracens collapsed, wild with hunger, dead on every side, lacking the means to survive. The famine was so great that grain could not be found I do not say for food but not even for seed. The Saracens indeed attributed this plague to a miracle because through a miracle the Lord thus had afflicted Egypt because the Christians had been expelled from the Holy Land, and they therefore considered returning the Holy Land to the Christians. This emperor [Andronikos II, r. 1282–1328], however, the persecutor and ancient enemy of the Roman church, made one of the largest ships in the world and sent it loaded with grain to Alexandria. This ship carried 14,000 mule loads of grain in addition to arms and many other things. Thus the emperor, the perfidious friend and ally of the Saracens and enemy and torment of the Romans, relieved the neediness of the Babylonians. Guillelmus Ade, Tractatus quomodo Sarraceni sunt expugnandi, ed. and transl. G. CONSTANBLE, Washington, D. C. 2012, cap. III: pp. 40– 43 Civil wars, invasions, the territorial shrinking of the Byzantine Empire, 1321-1360, and the ”Phase of Catastrophe”, 1341-1357 24 The Black Death after 1346 and its return until the 18th/19th centuries Aus: Benedictow, 2004 25 The new palaeogenetic evidence from the burial grounds near Lake Issyk, Kyrgyzstan (1338/1339; Spyrou et al. 2022) https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04800-3 26 Black Death mortality, pollen data and changes in land use (Izdebski et al. 2022) https://www.nature.com/article s/s41559-021-01652-4 27 The spread of the plague in the Black Sea, the Aegean and Anatolia, 1346-1349 28 From: Varlik 2015 The possible demographic impact of the plague in the remaining Byzantine provinces in Europe Cf. C. Tsiamis et al., Epidemic waves of the Black Death in the Byzantine Empire(1347-1453 AD). Le Infezioni in Medicina, n. 3, 193-201, 2011 Numbers of households for selected villages in Macedonia registered in tax lists of Athos monasteries, 1300-1409 (from: Preiser-Kapeller – Mitsiou 2019) 29 “Times of Anomalies, Strife and Turmoil”. Extreme events, pestilence, famines, invasions and civil wars Because of (our sins) through the just wrath and indignation of God came those famines and pestilences, but also the earthquakes that shook the earth to its foundations, the terrible floods of the sea which roared as if in anger and transgressed its borders, and the fires that befall us, the many civil wars, the unexpected sword of the deadly plague, the mutual killings by Christian brothers and real relatives, who belong to the same people, who, alas, were murdered every day and had disregarded the rules of nature in diabolical madness, the bad capture of many people by the barbarians and heretic and godless enemies and the annihilation, destruction and dispersion, which the Christian people suffered in a miserable way, and (still) suffer. (Charter of Patriarch Kallistos I of Constantinople, autumn 1350; cf. Register of the Patriarchate of Constantinople III,30nr. 180, lns. 92-107). The Byzantine civil wars and the expansion of the Turks to Europe “Persian [= Turkish] forces, however, always crossed the Hellespont from Asia, as if crossing from their own pastures and farms to others that (also) belonged to them. Day and night, like wild beasts, they carried out their frequent raids against the Thracian cities, sometimes plundering on their own, sometimes under the pretence of being allies of Kantakouzenos. However that may be, the cities suffered and all the Romans fared very badly. The hapless Thracians were left with neither yoke animals nor herds, nor a single plow-ox with which the peasants could dig up the furrows of the earth and procure the necessary daily ration for the stomach. Therefore, the earth remained uncultivated and completely deserted and, in short, wild.” Nikephoros Gregors 15, 1, 3 (ed. Schopen) 31 The pollen data from Eastern Bithynia (Izdebski/Koloch/ Słoczyński 2015) 32 Long term trends of agriculture in western Asia Minor reconstructed from pollen data Bafa Gölü Izdebski/Koloch/Słoczyński 2015 33 The evidence from the Bafa Gölü pollen data: resilience until the late 14th cent. “What is special about the Milesia, however, is the continuation of the late antique socialecological system beyond the seventh century A.D., through the Persian and Arab invasions, the middle Byzantine period, and the Turkish conquest. Notwithstanding various fluctuations and partial shifts of focus from one form of agriculture to another, on the basic level the rural economy that developed in late antiquity persisted without major interruption until as late as the 14th century, when the area had become part of the Turkish Beylik of Menteşe. Significant economic discontinuity occurred only in the 14th or 15th century, when the Byzantine to Beylik system was replaced by the early modern administration of the Ottoman empire.” (Izdebski in Niewöhner 2016, 280) 34 The resilience of agricultural productivity and the grain exports from Menteşe and Aydın to Venetian Crete and Rhodes in the 14th century (Zachariadou 1983) Anaia Allan Evans, Francesco Balducci Pegolotti. La Pratica della Mercatura. Cambridge Mass. 1936, pp. 56 and 104 (on the grain trade with Altoluogo/Ephesus, Anaia and Palatia, ca. 1335) 35 Disasters and epidemics as "hybrid socio-natural events" Disasters are “both culturally constructed and physically pronounced. On the one hand, although they were cultural constructs, they could not be detached from their physical existence. Nature was and is more than a social structure without reference to the material world. On the other hand, nature was an actor who influenced the environment even without human perception. (Still) disasters had a social context because human actions could affect the intensity and frequency of disasters. " Krämer 2015, 203 From: R. Schreg, Siedlungsökologie und Landnutzungsstrategien im byzantinischen Osten, in: H. Baron – F. Daim (eds.), A Most Pleasant Scene and an Inexhaustible Resource. Steps towards a Byzantine Environmental History. Mainz 2017, 17-34. Vulnerability as a “bridging concept” between natural scientific and historical interpretation of disasters • „Vulnerability to climate change is the degree to which geophysical, biological and socio-economic systems are susceptible to, and unable to cope with, adverse impacts of climate change.“ (IPCC 2007) Resilience and buffer opportunities • „Resilience is defined as the ability of a system and its component parts to anticipate, absorb, accommodate, or recover from the effects of a potentially hazardous event in a timely and efficient manner, including through ensuring the preservation, restoration, or improvement of its essential basic structures and functions.“ (Field 2012) • “The north wind prevailed for several months, and when April, May and much of June were over, hardly a small, rare flower or sprout appeared (…). Countless poor people died and their bodies were found swollen for want, five or six together. The plague was unbearable. It particularly attacked the poor. 15,000 poor people died in London alone. Thousands died in England and elsewhere. The nobility distributed bread on certain days in London. (…) The rich only escaped death by buying foreign grain.” English chronicle for the year 1258, quoted from Lavigne et al. 2013 The different dimensions of hunger crises, the unequal distribution of risks within a society due to unequal vulnerabilities and buffer options (and the share in the decision on the distribution of the latter) – and the opportunity of legitimation through relief efforts 1373 ‘A famine occurred during the reign of al-Ashraf Shaʿbān (764–778/1363– 1376). It was caused by the failure of the Nile to reach its plenitude in the year 776/1374 [should be corrected to 1373– 1374]: indeed, it did not attain 16 cubits. The canal was opened, [causing] the water level to drop and prices to increase. […] Foodstuffs became scarce and were rarely available. So many people died of hunger that they filled the streets. This was followed by an epidemic that caused further deaths. […] The sultan gave orders to collect the poor, whom he distributed among the commanders and the wealthy merchants. The famine lasted approximately two years; the God send succor to mankind and caused the Nile to flow, quenching the land’s thirst.’ alMaqrīzī, Mamluk Economics, p. 49. A “History of Climate and Society” (HCS) which does not lend itself to simplifying scenarios and political abuse Degroot, D., Anchukaitis, K., Bauch, M. et al. Towards a rigorous understanding of societal responses to climate change. Nature 591, 539–550 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-02103190-2 40 (ed. A. Izdebski/J. Preiser-Kapeller, forthcoming 2023) http://climatechangeandhistory.princeton.edu https://plas.openatlas.eu/ https://tinyurl.com/ENCHANT1200 Thank you very much for your attention!