The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened Paperback – March 17, 2019

by Susan Crockford (Author)

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The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened explains why the catastrophic decline in polar bear numbers we were promised in 2007 failed to materialize. It’s the story of how and why the polar bear came to be considered 'Threatened' with extinction, and tracks its rise and fall as an icon of the global warming movement. The book also tells the story of Crockford’s role in bringing that failure to public attention and the backlash against her that ensued – and why, among all others who have attempted to do so previously, she was uniquely positioned to do so. In general, this is a cautionary tale of scientific hubris and of scientific failure, of researchers staking their careers on untested computer simulations and later obfuscating inconvenient facts.For the first time, you'll see a frank and detailed account of attempts by scientists to conceal population growth as numbers rose from an historical low in the 1960s to the astonishing highs that surely must exist after almost 50 years of protection from overhunting. There is also a blunt account of what truly abundant populations of bears mean for the millions of people who live and work in areas of the Arctic inhabited by polar bears.

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Print length

209 pages
Language

English
Publication date

March 17, 2019
Dimensions

6 x 0.48 x 9 inches
ISBN-10

0993119085
ISBN-13

978-0993119088
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4.7 out of 5

170 global ratings

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Lance A. Wallace

A Masterpiece Upending Previous "Research" on Polar Bears

Reviewed in the United States on May 9, 2019

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The author is a biologist who has studied polar bears for many years. She has determined that spring is the most important season for them, since their main source of food for the entire year is seal pups. The previous understanding, mainly supported by a US and Canadian researcher, was that summer was important and the melting of ice in the summer imperils polar bears by forcing them to swim long distances in hunting food. Ms. Crockford shows that more than half of the annual food requirements are obtained in the spring. Warmer temperatures in the Arctic allows more seals to give birth in areas that provide good hunting for bears, so a warmer Arctic climate should allow polar bears to thrive and gain in numbers. In fact, Crockford shows that exactly that has occurred in most of the 17 or so subpopulations of polar bears over the last two decades, with the total number now in the range of 30,000, compared to the estimates of less than 10,000 before the hunting restrictions were enforced several decades ago. A powerful argument, well supported by the many studies cited. A true success story attributable in part to climate change.

18 people found this helpful

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Walton Francis

Great news for polar bears and for better science

Reviewed in the United States on March 21, 2019

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This book convincingly, in clear language, and with robust science demonstrates that the polar bear population has most likely risen from 10,000 to 40,000 in recent decades, despite big decreases in Arctic summer ice (read the book to find out why science shows that the summer ice decrease doesn’t harm polar bears). The discussions of the polar bear role as a now-failed symbol of impending extinction from climate change, of biased press coverage and fake news, of the use of invalid climate models, of the hostility and dishonesty of some polar bear experts getting a new lease on life from the flow of money to climate alarmists, and of the fraudulent listing of the polar bear as a "threatened" species through the machinations of a top government scientist are additional reasons to buy the book. The vicious and dishonest attacks on her by climate alarmists are revealing and scary. Their deliberate falsifications and other methods of distorting or suppressing inconvenient data alone make this book belong in any library on scientific fraud compared to honest scientific method. Buy it, read it, give copies to friends, and donate copies to students willing to learn about the real world of climate science.

57 people found this helpful

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David Becker

Book is clearly and concisely written, highly informative.

Reviewed in the United States on June 24, 2019

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This book gives what seems to be an honest and accurate picture of the status of polar bears. One of the most interesting aspects of the discussion was the inclusion of observations of the native people who live day in and day out with the bears, and recognize that their population is on the increase. That being said, a lot of very solid science from the author, who is a polar bear expert, was also included. The only slightly negative aspect of the book was the author's too frequent defense of herself against the unseemly personal (not scientific) attacks from some of her detractors. I would recommend this book for any open minded layman or professional who simply wishes to learn about the status of the bears. If you are concerned about these animals, it will put your fears to rest.

One person found this helpful

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Pooh Guy

Great Information!

Reviewed in the United States on July 6, 2020

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On the plus side, this is filled with facts and data and background information. It totally explodes the myth that climate change is reducing Polar Bear populations. It is thoughtful and well-reasoned and well-documented. The author's assertions and conclusions are irrefutable.

But I only gave it four stars because the prose is somewhat stilted and "technical." As background, I was a biology major, then later got an MS from the College of Engineering at my university. So I'm a bit of a science geek. But even I had to re-read many sections to figure out what the author was saying. In many places, the data that is referred to uses scientific jargon. That is, the author is attempting to "translate" the technical jargon to common language. The author clearly understands the data, and also seems to understand that it is opaque to all but the hard-core scientist and needs to be translated/explained. But alas, does not always do a very good job of it.

This is not surprising, because doing so is a skill that takes years of training specifically to do that. This book would be so much better if the author had hired (or otherwise conscripted) a Technical Writer to help rewrite it.

Maybe I'm being too harsh, but I think my frustration is due to the fact that the message is so important and so lost to the world that I fear it will be missed because the author did not "dumb it down" enough for the average person to be able to easily understand it. That is, people actually believe that Polar Bear populations are dropping, when in most areas it is increasing. But it is really hard to grasp that from reading this book.

I hope that there will be a second edition of this book that takes all the incredible research and data and analysis and makes it more easily digested by the average person, because this book is incredibly important and relevant to the climate change debate.

One person found this helpful

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Raphael Ketani

A description of the true status of the polar bear and the politics and greed of researchers.

Reviewed in the United States on June 5, 2019

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I read this book cover to cover. Learning about the actual status of the polar bear was an "eye opener." Susan Crockford presents an honest description regarding how the polar bears are actually thriving BECAUSE OF the reduction in Arctic ice! Who would have thought this was possible after all of the fear mongering and alarmism created by the environmentalists. She also described the politics and greed of those who are doing polar bear research - and the wrath she has been subject to since she truthfully described the real situation with the bears. She is very brave to publish this book! Anyone interested in truthful science and how special interests affect getting out the information should read the book!

2 people found this helpful

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Kornea112

Polar Bear Catastrophe Was a Man Made Crisis

Reviewed in Canada on April 21, 2019

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There are reports that state fully 50% of scientific studies cannot be replicated by peers & even in some cases 75%. Science has become so driven by politics & the need to justify funding it is losing it's once great name.

Dr. Susan Crockford has written a detailed book showing just how the popularity of the polar bear was hijacked by scientists to justify additional funding and drive the climate change agenda. Dr. Crockford was vilified by these same scientists because she challenged their science and of course their funding.

Reduced arctic ice has no affect on the ability of Polar Bears to survive.

It is just mind-boggling the malfeasance & corruption of scientists Ian Stirling & Steven Amstrup knowingly falsifying data all for securing additional funding.

Another interesting fact from the book is the Inuit of Nunavut have banned scientist & their polar beer studies over concerns their methods of research are destructive & cruel. One method of putting a tracking collar on a young bear, as it grows chokes to death or gets it head trapped. Polar bear necks are bigger than their head so the collars must be put on tight. If they fail to find the young bear again and remove the collar the bear slowly chokes to death.

The Inuit know polar bear populations better than the scientists. They have long opposed their testing methods. Scientists must do these studies or funding and pay checks dry up. Of course the Inuit are not scientists & are thus ignorant.

Polar bears are now so populous in the arctic that the Inuit communities are threatened by the their numbers.

An honest and enlightening book that shows just how false science is being used for political & funding reasons.

5 people found this helpful

Ms. J. Cooper

Proper analysis of reality

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on September 29, 2020

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Dr Crockford's detailed, thoroughly well researched and documented and referenced analysis is another triumph of why science trumps prejudiced activism every time.

Sadly the AGW proponents just don't like the real world when it doesn't accord with their hand-wringing alarmism.

Anyone who calls this nonsense out for what it is is subject to vitriolic attack over and over again. Dr Crockford, Dr Mitch Taylor, Professor Peter Ridd, Dr Tim Ball, Professor Pat Michaels...this list goes on and on.

What a sorry state of affairs this has all become.

Well done to all those who keep pursuing the science and the data.

"Religion is a culture of faith; science is a culture of doubt". Richard Feynman

One person found this helpful

R. Pieterman

On the importance of testing hypotheses in science

Reviewed in Germany on May 3, 2019

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Interesting and informative book on how polar bears got listed as 'endangered' on the basis of grim predictions. The chosen timeline of 'mid twenty-first century' did not lead to the predictions being exempt from testing for many decades. Instead, the critical conditions were present earlier than thought. Hence, falsification was possible and, in fact, happened. Summer sea ice extent turns out not to be a critical survival factor for polar bears. The book also sheds light on how this 'inconvenient truth' was dealt with by the interested scientists and activist: by going after the messenger! Highly recommended case study in the politicization of science.

4 people found this helpful

Brian Carvell

A must read for climate catastrophe alarmists

Reviewed in Australia on January 15, 2020

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I took the word idiots out of the headline because its probably too apt. A larmists probably wont read this book because it put the lie to all we keep being told about the extinction of polar bears and how they are actually thriving. It is strange however that we seldom hear these days how the poster child - the polar bear - is being left out of global warming ravings. This is a detailed view of the populations and widespread growth of Polar bears .Excellent reading.

Donald Farley

Excellent scientific appraisal of the polar bear, numbers and outlook

Reviewed in Canada on May 8, 2019

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Dr Susan Crockford has presented a detailed review of the polar bear, its habitudes and history, current status and future outlook. She has documented the resilience of the polar bear in surviving climate change during the last 10,000 years. The biggest threat to the polar bear during the 19th and 20th centuries was unregulated hunting by man. She has a thorough knowledge of the Arctic, its geography, and food progression from fauna to seal to polar bear, and the numerous techniques in estimating polar bear numbers, currently at the official estimate of 26,500.

Dr Crockford points out the amazing physical prowess of the polar bear which enables it to overcome a lower percentage of ice cover during its usual hunting season. Long distance swimming and diving for up to 5 minute are common. Thick ice with and heavy snow cover presents more of a problem to the polar bear as well as its prey, than a large percentage of open water.

The polar bear had been adopted as the icon by the climate alarmist groups, but is now falling out of favour as it has demonstrated that it is able to withstand the current low level of climate change.

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