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kikoukagakushanokokuhaku chikyuuonndannkahamikennshounokasetsu: Confessions of a climate scientist The global warming hypothesis is an unproven hypothesis (Japanese Edition) Kindle Edition

Japanese Edition by Nakamura Mototaka (Author) Format: Kindle Edition
4.3 4.3 out of 5 stars 195 ratings
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2020年10月最新版(w/ some English contents)：マサチューセッツ工科大学から理学博士号を取得し、通算25年間近くに渡ってマサチューセッツ工科大学、ジョージア工科大学、NASAの研究所、デューク大学、海洋研究開発機構で異常気象や気候変動を研究した本物の大気・海洋・気候専門の科学者が、「二酸化炭素増加による地球の危機的温暖化」の嘘を斬る。気候研究界の内部事情を熟知する者の立場から、「過去100年間の地球温暖化」の不確実性と、欠陥だらけの気候シミュレーションモデルによる温暖化予測のデタラメを鋭くえぐる。オマケとして、著者と、学生時代の釣り仲間達にまつわる面白話も掲載。
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    149 pages
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    Japanese
  3. Publication date
    12 July 2018
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    560 KB
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Product details

  • ASIN ‏ : ‎ B07FKHF7T2
  • Language ‏ : ‎ Japanese
  • File size ‏ : ‎ 560 KB
  • Simultaneous device usage ‏ : ‎ Unlimited
  • Text-to-Speech ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • Enhanced typesetting ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • X-Ray ‏ : ‎ Not Enabled
  • Word Wise ‏ : ‎ Not Enabled
  • Print length ‏ : ‎ 149 pages
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.3 4.3 out of 5 stars 195 ratings

Customer reviews

4.3 out of 5 stars
4.3 out of 5
195 global ratings

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Amazon Customer
5.0 out of 5 stars Short, simple and easy to understand
Reviewed in the United States on 26 September 2019
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Nakamura presents his thesis in a short and simple to understand essay: climate models are far too simplistic to be relied upon for predictions or forecasting. Current computers are not powerful enough, and too many variables need to be 'fudged' because the mechanisms are not understood well enough to be modeled correctly. Also some model assumptions (like solar activity remaining constant) fly in the face of observations made in the real world. We have decades of solar data that shows that the solar output does vary, and no way to predict that it will not change more drastically in the future.

This book is very approachable for the average reader I believe. Though I do have a layman's understand of climate change, I have no knowledge of climate modeling. I found Nakamura's writing to be clear and easily understood. He is not shy about his disdain for many of his colleagues who think their models can actually predict the future. He is also honest about the sensationalistic title of his book admitting that he named it such to try and get more readers in Japan, where there is little skepticism among the public or scientists about the accuracy and predictive power of climate models.

This is a devastating treatise for those claim that we are facing catastrophic global warming because of carbon dioxide. As such, I'm sure it will be universally ignored by the corporate main stream media and highly lauded by the AGW 'deniers'. Whatever you think about climate change, take the time to read Nakamura's short book and learn the complexities and pitfalls of trying to make accurate predictions about incredibly complex systems using computer models.
9 people found this helpful
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Sinewavegoodbye
5.0 out of 5 stars Insider Honesty.
Reviewed in Canada on 28 September 2019
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All you have to do is look at Nakamura's List of publications and the mind boggling titles and you realize the complexity of climate as depicted in the media is woefully understated. He does his best to simplify the subject and factors at hand and does a good job, I did find that I was rereading paasages to get the gist, it's just that complicated. The take away is simple though, the use of computer models to predict climate in the future is essentially impossible. It's alarming that the world as a whole is putting all its eggs in one basket on flawed science, maybe it's time to step back and re evaluate. Thank you Mr Nakamura
2 people found this helpful
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A Stoic
5.0 out of 5 stars Models of climate change predictions don’t work
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 29 May 2020
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During the coronovirus epidemiologists computer models predictions of likely deaths was vastly exaggerated, causing panic and harm to society.
It is common sense that carbon cannot be the only cause of climate change and modelling it as the cause is childish. But blaming carbon is a simple idea and is of value to government to tax it, investors to trade in it, business to make money from new goods eschewing carbon and scientists to follow the narrative.
A very helpful short book to explain why the models don’t work, why we are defrauded by carbon tax. A very good point is made by the author - why aren’t all renewables tax free and cheaper so that we all move from dirty, unhealthy fuel to clean? Answer - money and politics can gain from the evil carbon. The carbon narrative is not saving the planet and not preserving the environment.
3 people found this helpful
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sanfransoho JuGru
5.0 out of 5 stars Unfortunately not a complete translation. But the important parts and key points are in English
Reviewed in Germany on 27 September 2019
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Very interesting book.
Background Dr. Nakamura.

Dr. Mototaka Nakamura received a Doctorate of Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and for nearly 25 years specialized in abnormal weather and climate change at prestigious institutions that included MIT, Georgia Institute of Technology, NASA, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, JAMSTEC and Duke University.
In his book The Global Warming Hypothesis is an Unproven Hypothesis, Dr. Nakamura explains why the data foundation underpinning global warming science is “untrustworthy” and cannot be relied on:

“Global mean temperatures before 1980 are based on untrustworthy data,” writes Nakamura. “Before full planet surface observation by satellite began in 1980, only a small part of the Earth had been observed for temperatures with only a certain amount of accuracy and frequency. Across the globe, only North America and Western Europe have trustworthy temperature data dating back to the 19th century.”

"I also hear somewhat less bold claims such as "These models can correctly predict at least the sense or direction of climate changes that are attributable only to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide."  I want to point out a simple fact that it is impossible to correctly predict even the sense or direction of the change of a system when the prediction tool lacks and/or grossly distorts important nonlinear processes, feedbacks in particular, that are present in the actual system."

From 1990 to 2014, Nakamura worked on cloud dynamics and forces mixing atmospheric and ocean flows on medium to planetary scales. His bases were MIT (for a Doctor of Science in meteorology), Georgia Institute of Technology, Goddard Space Flight Center, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Duke and Hawaii Universities and the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology.

He’s published 20+ climate papers on fluid dynamics.
4 people found this helpful
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らぐぽい
5.0 out of 5 stars 非常にわかりやすいが、余談も多い
Reviewed in Japan on 22 January 2024
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難しい内容をできるだけ易しく書いてくれたことがわかります。
ヒートアイランド現象など局地的な温暖化に関する意見も聞きたいところだが、気候学者に聞くのはお門違いなのかな。
温暖説がはびこる理由の一つと思われる世界的な炭素税導入のくだりはやむを得ないのだろうが、少し陰謀論めいた部分は余計かな。
新型コロナに関する部分は、それを知りたい人には一つの意見として有用だろうが、温暖化について知りたい読者には全くの蛇足であろう。
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