A regression model for the nonepidemic level of influenza-like syndrome has been estimated from the 55,200 cases collected between October 1984 and August 1988 using the French Communicable Diseases Computer Network. The start of a major epidemic in 1988-89 was detected early. The size of the epidemic, for the entire country, was estimated at approximately 4.3 million cases. The excess cost of sick-leave, among those of working age, was estimated at $86 million.

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D Costagliola , A Flahault , D Galinec , P Garnerin , J Menares , and A J Valleron Unit of Research in Biomathematics and Biostatistics, INSERM, Paris, France. “A routine tool for detection and assessment of epidemics of influenza-like syndromes in France.”, American Journal of Public Health 81, no. 1 (January 1, 1991): pp. 97-99.

https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.81.1.97

PMID: 1983924