A brief history of R0 and a recipe for its calculation

Acta Biotheor. 2002;50(3):189-204. doi: 10.1023/a:1016599411804.

Abstract

In this paper I present the genesis of R0 in demography, ecology and epidemiology, from embryo to its current adult form. I argue on why it has taken so long for the concept to mature in epidemiology when there were ample opportunities for cross-fertilisation from demography and ecology from where it reached adulthood fifty years earlier. Today, R0 is a more fully developed adult in epidemiology than in demography. In the final section I give an algorithm for its calculation in heterogeneous populations.

Publication types

  • Historical Article

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Demography
  • Ecology*
  • Epidemiologic Methods*
  • History, 19th Century
  • History, 20th Century
  • History, 21st Century
  • Humans
  • Statistics as Topic / history*