Is poverty the mother of crime? Evidence from homicide rates in China

PLoS One. 2020 May 18;15(5):e0233034. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0233034. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Income inequality is blamed for being the main driver of violent crime by the majority of the literature. However, earlier work on the topic largely neglects the role of poverty and income levels as opposed to income inequality. The current paper uses all court verdicts for homicide cases in China between 2014 and 2016, as well as various inequality measures calculated from 2005 mini census data together with a host of control variables to shed light on the relationship at the detailed Chinese prefecture-level. The results suggest that it is the poverty and low income level, rather than income inequality, that is positively related to homicide rates. We show that the internal rural-urban migration from more violent localities contributes to the destination cities' homicide rates. The poverty-homicide association implies that instead of "relative deprivation", "absolute deprivation" is mainly responsible for violent crime. Poverty is the mother of crime. -Marcus Aurelius (121-180AD), Emperor of the Roman Empire.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Censuses
  • China
  • Crime / statistics & numerical data*
  • Empirical Research
  • Female
  • Homicide / statistics & numerical data*
  • Human Migration / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Income
  • Male
  • Poverty / statistics & numerical data*
  • Rural Population
  • Urban Population

Grants and funding

This study was supported by the Center of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development; China Scholarship Council (grant number: 201808410386).The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.