Professional Documents
Culture Documents
05-Nov
12-Nov
19-Nov
26-Nov
03-Dec
10-Dec
17-Dec
05-Mar
12-Mar
19-Mar
26-Mar
06-Aug
13-Aug
20-Aug
27-Aug
03-Sep
10-Sep
17-Sep
24-Sep
01-Oct
08-Oct
15-Oct
22-Oct
29-Oct
02-Apr
09-Apr
16-Apr
23-Apr
30-Apr
Source of hospital admissions data: Lucille Blumberg and Waasila Jassat – DATCOV, NICD
7-day moving average of national daily cases
per 100,000 population
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
05-Mar
12-Mar
19-Mar
26-Mar
02-Apr
09-Apr
National
Gauteng
Limpopo
16-Apr
Free State
North West
23-Apr
Mpumalanga
Eastern Cape
30-Apr
Western Cape
Northern Cape
KwaZulu-Natal
07-May
14-May
21-May
28-May
04-Jun
11-Jun
18-Jun
25-Jun
02-Jul
09-Jul
16-Jul
23-Jul
30-Jul
06-Aug
13-Aug
20-Aug
27-Aug
03-Sep
10-Sep
17-Sep
24-Sep
01-Oct
08-Oct
15-Oct
22-Oct
29-Oct
05-Nov
12-Nov
19-Nov
26-Nov
03-Dec
10-Dec
17-Dec
Confirmed SARS-Cov-2 cases by province
Gauteng
National
KwaZulu-Natal
Eastern Cape
Western Cape
(7-day moving average cases per 100,000 population – up to 17 December)
7-day moving average of national daily cases
per 100,000 population
0
1
2
3
4
5
01-Nov
02-Nov
03-Nov
04-Nov
05-Nov
06-Nov
07-Nov
08-Nov
09-Nov
10-Nov
11-Nov
12-Nov
13-Nov
14-Nov
15-Nov
16-Nov
17-Nov
18-Nov
19-Nov
20-Nov
21-Nov
22-Nov
23-Nov
24-Nov
25-Nov
26-Nov
27-Nov
Limpopo
Free State
28-Nov
29-Nov
30-Nov
01-Dec
02-Dec
03-Dec
04-Dec
05-Dec
06-Dec
07-Dec
08-Dec
09-Dec
Mpumalanga
10-Dec
Northern Cape
11-Dec
12-Dec
13-Dec
14-Dec
15-Dec
16-Dec
17-Dec
18-Dec
North West
19-Dec
20-Dec
Confirmed SARS-Cov-2 cases by province
(7-day moving average cases per 100,000 population – up to 17 December)
Comparison of SARS-Cov-2 cases in first and
second wave in Western Cape
(7-day moving average cases per 100,000 population – up to 17 December)
40
7-day moving average of national daily cases
25
Latest results: 59/67
20
(88% are the new variant)
First wave
15
10
0
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
61
65
69
73
77
81
85
89
93
97
1
5
9
101
105
109
113
117
121
125
129
133
137
141
145
149
153
157
161
165
169
173
177
181
185
189
193
197
201
205
Comparison of SARS-Cov-2 cases in first and second
wave in KwaZulu-Natal
(7-day moving average cases per 100,000 population – up to 17 December)
30
7-day moving average of national daily cases
20
15
Second wave
10
First wave
0
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
61
65
69
73
77
81
85
89
93
97
1
5
9
101
105
109
113
117
121
125
129
133
137
141
145
149
153
157
161
165
169
173
177
181
185
189
193
197
201
205
209
213
217
Expected & actual all-cause deaths during Covid-19
Before lockdown L5 L4 L3 – 1 Jun – 16 Aug L2 - 17 Aug – 20 Sept L1 - 21 Sept
Excess deaths: 210 Excess deaths: -3,714 Excess deaths: -3,894 Excess deaths: 32,809 Excess deaths: 5,132 Excess deaths: 12,116
Covid-19 deaths : 0 Covid-19 deaths: 93 Covid-19 deaths: 667 Covid-19 deaths: 11,483 Covid-19 deaths: 3,854 Covid-19 deaths: 6,314
18000
16000
14000
12000
Recorded deaths
10000
8000
Predicted deaths
4000
National cases
2000
Source:
0 Bradshaw D, et al
01-Jul
08-Jul
15-Jul
22-Jul
29-Jul
07-Oct
14-Oct
21-Oct
28-Oct
01-Apr
08-Apr
15-Apr
22-Apr
29-Apr
06-May
13-May
20-May
27-May
03-Jun
10-Jun
17-Jun
24-Jun
04-Nov
11-Nov
18-Nov
25-Nov
02-Dec
09-Dec
16-Dec
04-Mar
11-Mar
18-Mar
25-Mar
05-Aug
12-Aug
19-Aug
26-Aug
02-Sep
09-Sep
16-Sep
23-Sep
30-Sep
5 Mar – 31 May: 7,608 less deaths (all-causes) than expected, mostly from fewer non-natural deaths
1 Jun – 16 Aug: 32,809 excess deaths (all-causes) - 11,483 reported Covid-19 deaths
The fine balance between virus and host
• Viruses usually evolve to become more transmissible & less
severe (less pathogenic or less lethal)
• Mostly within humans in response to immune pressure
• Sometimes when they pass through another species