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First published online August 21, 2014

The persistence of lifestyles: Rates and correlates of homicide in Western Europe from 1960 to 2010

Abstract

This article analyses rates and correlates of homicide in 15 West European countries from 1960 to 2010. The results show that the levels of homicide in 2010 and the trends in homicide from 1960 to 2010 are not related to any of the traditional demographic and socioeconomic predictors of crime. Homicide victimization rates show an increase from the mid-1960s until the early 1990s, and a decrease since then. Victims of both genders and all group ages follow the same trend, except in the case of infanticide, which decreased during the whole period. These results do not support the hypothesis of a homicide trend driven by the evolution of victimization of young men in public space. The authors propose an explanation based on a lifestyle approach.

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Appendix

Table 3. Average rates of homicide victimization in 15 West European countries, five-year periods, 1960–2010.
Country 1960–4 1965–9 1970–4 1975–9 1980–4 1985–9 1990–4 1995–9 2000–4 2005–10
Austria 1.03 1.04 1.46 1.42 1.49 1.27 1.33 0.98 0.80 0.62
Belgium 0.62 0.77 1.06 1.07 1.51 1.68 1.56 1.90 1.59 1.31
Denmark 0.54 0.58 0.78 0.72 1.19 1.22 1.24 1.10 0.94 0.81
Finland 2.59 2.27 2.66 3.00 2.79 2.79 3.04 2.69 2.38 2.14
France 1.46 0.80 0.83 1.00 1.13 1.10 1.05 0.86 0.78 0.68
Greece 1.22 0.83 0.59 0.69 0.81 0.90 1.15 1.24 0.86 1.11
Ireland 0.30 0.35 0.54 0.81 0.96 0.84 0.69 0.92 0.91 0.97
Italy 1.04 0.85 1.03 1.43 1.88 1.63 2.10 1.26 0.94 0.86
Netherlands 0.34 0.43 0.61 0.83 0.86 0.91 1.09 1.24 1.19 0.96
Norway 0.49 0.51 0.68 0.79 1.19 1.26 1.09 0.94 0.98 0.72
Portugal 1.14 1.04 1.00 1.71 1.42 1.39 1.52 1.28 1.21 1.04
Spain 0.15 0.16 0.37 0.77 0.99 0.99 0.87 0.80 1.00 0.74
Sweden 0.67 0.81 1.02 1.22 1.24 1.34 1.28 1.09 1.01 0.97
Switzerland 0.76 0.67 0.86 0.88 1.16 1.25 1.43 1.03 0.88 0.67
United Kingdom 0.59 0.73 1.09 1.44 0.88 0.95 0.92 0.82 0.56 0.39
Geometric mean 0.69 0.68 0.87 1.09 1.23 1.24 1.27 1.14 1.01 0.87
Mean 0.86 0.79 0.97 1.19 1.30 1.30 1.36 1.21 1.07 0.93
Median 0.67 0.77 0.86 1.00 1.19 1.25 1.24 1.09 0.94 0.86
Standard deviation 0.61 0.48 0.54 0.59 0.50 0.48 0.58 0.49 0.43 0.40
Minimum 0.15 0.16 0.37 0.69 0.81 0.84 0.69 0.80 0.56 0.39
Maximum 2.59 2.27 2.66 3.00 2.79 2.79 3.04 2.69 2.38 2.14
Ratio (1 to) 17.07 14.38 7.20 4.34 3.43 3.31 4.44 3.35 4.24 5.50
Source: Own calculations based on data from WHO mortality statistics.
Figure 9. Indexed homicide victimization rates in 15 West European countries, 1960–2004, by gender (1960 = 100).

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Article first published online: August 21, 2014
Issue published: September 2014

Keywords

  1. Crime drop
  2. crime trends
  3. homicide
  4. lifestyle theory
  5. Western Europe

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Authors

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Marcelo F Aebi
University of Lausanne, Switzerland
Antonia Linde
Open University of Catalonia, Spain; University of Lausanne, Switzerland

Notes

Marcelo F Aebi, School of Criminal Sciences, Institute of Criminology and Criminal Law, University of Lausanne, ESC-IDCP-BCH, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland. Email: [email protected]

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