The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable
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- Publication date
- 2007
- Topics
- Uncertainty (Information theory), Forecasting, Forecasting, Probability, Incertitude (Théorie de l'information), Prévision, Teoria da informação (aspectos sociais), Ereignis, Informationstheorie, Prognose, Sozialpsychologie, Ungewissheit, Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Publisher
- New York : Random House
- Collection
- printdisabled; internetarchivebooks; americana
- Contributor
- Internet Archive
- Language
- English
Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random
- Access-restricted-item
- true
- Addeddate
- 2010-09-08 19:23:11
- Bookplateleaf
- 0004
- Boxid
- IA120414
- Boxid_2
- CH102801
- Camera
- Canon 5D
- City
- New York
- Donor
- alibris
- Edition
- 1st ed.
- External-identifier
- urn:oclc:record:1147992207
urn:lcp:blackswanimpacto00tale:lcpdf:3a674b68-1514-433b-a592-5fbf7b45a869
urn:lcp:blackswanimpacto00tale:epub:4ec73949-a63e-47d1-a73c-25bd88462f43
- Extramarc
- The Indiana University Catalog
- Foldoutcount
- 0
- Identifier
- blackswanimpacto00tale
- Identifier-ark
- ark:/13960/t8mc9pq6c
- Isbn
- 9781400063512
1400063515
- Lccn
- 2006051093
- Ocr
- tesseract 4.1.1
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- Pages
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- Ppi
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- Scandate
- 20100913151822
- Scanner
- scribe2.la.archive.org
- Scanningcenter
- la
- Source
- removed
- Worldcat (source edition)
- 318378602
- Full catalog record
- MARCXML
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