Advertisement
No access
Policy Forum
Renewable Energy

Terawatt-scale photovoltaics: Trajectories and challenges

Coordinating technology, policy, and business innovations
Science
14 Apr 2017
Vol 356, Issue 6334
pp. 141-143

Abstract

The annual potential of solar energy far exceeds the world's total energy consumption. However, the vision of photovoltaics (PVs) providing a substantial fraction of global electricity generation and total energy demand is far from being realized. What technical, infrastructure, economic, and policy barriers need to be overcome for PVs to grow to the multiple terawatt (TW) scale? We assess realistic future scenarios and make suggestions for a global agenda to move toward PVs at a multi-TW scale.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Supplementary Material

File (aal1288_haegel_sm.pdf)
File (aal1288_haegel_sm.revision1.pdf)
File (aal1288_haegel_sm.revision2.pdf)

References and Notes

1
Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century, Renewables 2016 global status report (REN21 Secretariat, Paris, 2016); http://bit.ly/2nPE-pdf.
2
P. Mints, Photovoltaic manufacturer shipments: Capacity, price & revenues 2015/2016 (SPV Market Research, San Francisco, 2016).
3
A. C. Goodrich, D. M. Powell, T. L. James, M. Woodhouse, T. Buonassisi, Energy Environ. Sci. 6, 2811 (2013).
4
D. M. Powell, et al., Energy Environ. Sci. 8, 3395 (2015).
5
R. Jones-Albertus, D. Feldman, R. Fu, K. Horowitz, M. Woodhouse, Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 24, 1272 (2016).
6
D. C. Jordan, S. R. Kurtz, K. VanSant, J. Newmiller, Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 24, 978 (2016).
7
J. M. Burst, et al., Nat. Energy 1, 16055 (2016).
8
Y. Zhao, et al., Nat. Energy 1, 16067 (2016).
9
L. S. Mattos, et al., in Photovoltaic Specialists Conference (PVSC), 2012 38th IEEE, Austin, TX, 3 to 8 June 2012 (IEEE, 2012), pp. 003187–003190.
10
E. Yablonovitch, T. Gmitter, J. P. Harbison, R. Bhat, Appl. Phys. Lett. 51, 2222 (1987).
11
M. Bolinger, J. Seel, Utility-scale solar 2015 (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, 2016).
12
International Energy Agency, The power of transformation: Wind, sun and the economics of flexible power systems (IEA, Paris, 2014).
13
B. Nykvist, M. Nilsson, Nat. Clim. Chang. 5, 329 (2015).
14
New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization, NEDO secondary battery technology development road map 2013 (NEDO, Japan, 2013); www.nedo.go.jp/content/100535728.pdf.
15
T. Randall, Here's how electric cars will cause the next oil crisis (Bloomberg, 2016); www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/.
16
Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Market size generation capacity 2016 (BNEF, 2016).

(0)eLetters

eLetters is a forum for ongoing peer review. eLetters are not edited, proofread, or indexed, but they are screened. eLetters should provide substantive and scholarly commentary on the article. Embedded figures cannot be submitted, and we discourage the use of figures within eLetters in general. If a figure is essential, please include a link to the figure within the text of the eLetter. Please read our Terms of Service before submitting an eLetter.

Log In to Submit a Response

No eLetters have been published for this article yet.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Science
Volume 356 | Issue 6334
14 April 2017

Submission history

Published in print: 14 April 2017

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Acknowledgments

This paper was informed by the Terawatt Workshop convened in Freiburg, Germany, by the Global Alliance of Solar Energy Research Institutes, March 2016. The authors thank P. Basore for contributions to workshop organization, D. Gwinner for editorial support, and L. Hornbecker for contributions to manuscript preparation. We acknowledge D. B. Needleman and H. Laine for contributions in preparing data and references for the second figure. National Renewable Energy Laboratory's portion of this work was completed under U.S. Department of Energy contract no. DE-AC36-08-GO28308; partial financial support for preparation of the manuscript was provided by the National Center for Photovoltaics Director's Fund.

Authors

Affiliations

Nancy M. Haegel
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Robert Margolis
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Tonio Buonassisi
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
David Feldman
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Armin Froitzheim
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Raffi Garabedian
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Martin Green
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Stefan Glunz
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Hans-Martin Henning
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Burkhard Holder
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Izumi Kaizuka
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Benjamin Kroposki
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Koji Matsubara
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Shigeru Niki
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Keiichiro Sakurai
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Roland A. Schindler
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
William Tumas
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Eicke R. Weber
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Gregory Wilson
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Michael Woodhouse
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.
Sarah Kurtz
See supplementary materials for full author affiliations.

Notes

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Article Usage

Altmetrics

Citations

Cite as

Export citation

Select the format you want to export the citation of this publication.

Cited by

  1. Terawatt-scale photovoltaics: Transform global energy, Science, 364, 6443, (836-838), (2021)./doi/10.1126/science.aaw1845
    Abstract
Loading...

View Options

Check Access

Log in to view the full text

AAAS ID LOGIN

AAAS login provides access to Science for AAAS Members, and access to other journals in the Science family to users who have purchased individual subscriptions.

Log in via OpenAthens.
Log in via Shibboleth.

More options

Purchase digital access to this article

Download and print this article for your personal scholarly, research, and educational use.

Purchase this issue in print

Buy a single issue of Science for just $15 USD.

View options

PDF format

Download this article as a PDF file

Download PDF

Full Text

FULL TEXT

Media

Figures

Multimedia

Tables

Share

Share

Share article link

Share on social media