Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:25AM EDT on Apr 27, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$142,907,727 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 44.0-45.0% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 42.7-43.1% $18,740,053
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 50.7-52.7% $4,546,768
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 43.5-44.3% $2,889,580

45.7%

-0.3%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 43.0-44.0% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 43.9-44.2% $18,740,053
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 42.9-43.9% $4,546,768
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 43.5-44.3% $2,889,580

43.7%

0.5%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 4.0-4.3% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 3.3-3.6% $18,740,053
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 2.5-3.6% $2,889,580

3.5%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 3.8-4.2% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 2.5-2.8% $18,740,053
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 2.1-2.9% $2,889,580

3.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 1.0-1.3% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 1.2-1.3% $18,740,053
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2.9-3.9% $4,546,768
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 1.2-2.0% $2,889,580

1.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 0.3-0.4% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 1.1-1.3% $18,740,053
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 0.9-1.5% $2,889,580

0.9%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 0.4-0.5% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 1.3-1.3% $18,740,053
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 0.6-1.3% $2,889,580

0.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 0.5-0.6% $116,731,326
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 0.3-0.4% $18,740,053
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1.0-2.0% $4,546,768
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 0.1-0.5% $2,889,580

0.7%

-0.1%
Electoral College (estimate: 276-262. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:34AM EDT on Apr 27, 2024
Over $1M bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available
GOP VP NomineeRepublican Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$21,149,679 bet so far
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 21.0-22.0% $16,957,731
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 22.0-23.0% $3,456,668
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 19.2-19.6% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 18.2-20.8% $76,028

20.7%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 8.0-9.0% $16,957,731
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 14.0-15.0% $3,456,668
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 6.9-8.3% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 6.3-8.7% $76,028

9.5%

2.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 5.2-6.3% $16,957,731
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 6.1-7.1% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 6.1-8.0% $76,028

6.5%

-0.1%
Carson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 4.3-5.0% $16,957,731
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 5.6-6.9% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 5.1-7.4% $76,028

5.7%

-0.3%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 5.0-6.0% $16,957,731
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 3.0-4.0% $3,456,668
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 4.5-5.0% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 4.2-5.4% $76,028

4.6%

-0.2%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 2.6-3.6% $16,957,731
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 7.0-8.0% $3,456,668
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 1.2-4.5% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 4.2-5.9% $76,028

4.6%

-6.7%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 2.2-2.6% $16,957,731
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 5.0-6.0% $3,456,668
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 2.2-2.9% $660,654
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 1.8-3.3% $76,028

3.3%

-0.1%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎 1.4-1.6% $16,957,731
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 4.0-5.0% $3,456,668
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ 2.3-2.9% $660,654

2.9%

-0.0%

42.2%

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"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
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"Radical"
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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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