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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

Dates Samplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

Pollster Result Net result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

Pollster Result

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 20-21
804 RV
April 20-21
804RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump   Trump +15
April 11-16
1,126 RV
April 11-16
1,126RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump   Trump +3
April 11-16
1,126 RV
April 11-16
1,126RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%

Stein

2%
42%
Trump Trump +2
April 8-15
708 RV
April 8-15
708RV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump   Biden +2
April 8-15
708 RV
April 8-15
708RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%
40%
Trump Biden +3
April 8-11
600 LV
April 8-11
600LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

13%

Stein

2%

West

1%
37%
Trump Trump +3
April 8-11
600 LV
April 8-11
600LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump   Trump +6
March 25-28
709 LV
March 25-28
709LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

9%
43%
Trump Trump +3
March 25-28
709 LV
March 25-28
709LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump   Trump +4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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