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How the U.S. Lost Years of Life

Many countries saw drops in life expectancy during the pandemic, but some populations have suffered more than others

Line chart shows life expectancy at birth since 2015 and how it changed during the pandemic in 29 countries or regions; another line chart breaks down U.S. data by race and ethnicity. Smaller charts compare variations by age and sex in the U.S. versus oth

Amanda Montañez; Sources: “Life Expectancy Changes since COVID-19,” by Jonas Schöley et al., in Nature Human Behaviour. Published online October 17, 2022 (country data); Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (race and ethnicity data)


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Over the past century people have been living longer lives around the globe. Then COVID hit. Now, nearly three years into the pandemic, with highly effective vaccines widely available, life expectancy in many middle- and high-income countries has started to bounce back. But in the U.S., it is still dropping. A study last year found that life expectancy in most Western European countries recovered in 2021—most likely the result of high vaccination rates that reduced mortality, particularly among the elderly. But the U.S. has continued to see declines, in part because of lower vaccination rates as well as a devastating opioid epidemic.

Despite being one of the richest countries in the world, the U.S. has seen life expectancy fall to a level not documented since 1996, according to an analysis by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And the effects are not felt equally: Native Americans, Black people, Latino people, and men in general have died at disproportionately high rates during the pandemic, from both COVID and other causes.

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Credit: Amanda Montañez; Sources: “Life Expectancy Changes since COVID-19,” by Jonas Schöley et al., in Nature Human Behaviour. Published online October 17, 2022 (country data); Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (race and ethnicity data)

Tanya Lewis is a senior editor covering health and medicine at Scientific American. She writes and edits stories for the website and print magazine on topics ranging from COVID to organ transplants. She also co-hosts Your Health, Quickly on Scientific American's podcast Science, Quickly and writes Scientific American's weekly Health & Biology newsletter. She has held a number of positions over her seven years at Scientific American, including health editor, assistant news editor and associate editor at Scientific American Mind. Previously, she has written for outlets that include Insider, Wired, Science News, and others. She has a degree in biomedical engineering from Brown University and one in science communication from the University of California, Santa Cruz.

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Scientific American Magazine Vol 328 Issue 2This article was originally published with the title “How the U.S. Lost Years of Life” in Scientific American Magazine Vol. 328 No. 2 (), p. 76
doi:10.1038/scientificamerican0223-76