Saturday, February 27, 2021

Texas Coronavirus Update as of February 26, 2021

 The chart shows a distinct trend for lower hospitalizations and deaths.  I've added two points of special note regarding hospitalizations.  The first blue box has a date of March 13, 2021.  This marks a future time when hospitalizations could match the level in October (follow blue horizontal dashed line).  The second blue box date of March 27, 2021 marks when there could possibly be no more people in the hospital with the virus. The reality might be the actual hospitalizations by then will reach "some low number".  It might match what we started with in April and May.

Keep in mind this is an analysis of trends.  It is not really a completely reliable prediction of whether or not it will happen.  But as we say "we follow the trend...until we cannot".

I'm doing a better job of masking the incomplete updated deaths.  There still is a good chance the earlier death numbers will be updated, but possibly not enough to effect what the chart is telling us.

If the trend continues, the end is nigh.



 

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