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COVID-19 Coronavirus Outbreak
Last updated: March 15, 2020, 23:15 GMT
Cases - Deaths - Countries - Death Rate - Incubation - Age - Symptoms - Opinions - News

Coronavirus Cases:

169,333
view by country

Deaths:

6,500

Recovered:

76,618
Active Cases
86,215
Currently Infected Patients
80,294 (93%)
in Mild Condition

5,921 (7%)
Serious or Critical

Show Graph
Show Statistics
Closed Cases
83,118
Cases which had an outcome:
76,618 (92%)
Recovered / Discharged

6,500 (8%)
Deaths

Show Graph
Show Statistics

The charts above are updated after the close of the day in GMT+0. Latest data is provisional, pending delayed reporting and adjustments from China's NHC.

Confirmed Cases and Deaths by Country, Territory, or Conveyance

The coronavirus COVID-19 is affecting 157 countries and territories around the world and 1 international conveyance (the Diamond Princess cruise ship harbored in Yokohama, Japan). The day is reset after midnight GMT+0. The "New" columns for China display the previous day changes (as China reports after the day is over). For all other countries, the "New" columns display the changes for the current day while still in progress.


Do you think that Italy's numbers are wrong? Read here

Report coronavirus cases

Country,
Other		 Total
Cases		 New
Cases		 Total
Deaths		 New
Deaths		 Total
Recovered		 Active
Cases		 Serious,
Critical		 Tot Cases/
1M pop
China 80,849 +5 3,199 66,934 10,716 3,226 56.2
Italy 24,747 +3,590 1,809 +368 2,335 20,603 1,672 409.3
Iran 13,938 +1,209 724 +113 4,590 8,624 165.9
S. Korea 8,162 +76 75 +3 834 7,253 59 159.2
Spain 7,843 +1,452 292 +96 517 7,034 272 167.7
Germany 5,813 +1,214 11 +2 46 5,756 2 69.4
France 5,423 +924 127 +36 12 5,284 400 83.1
USA 3,666 +723 68 +11 59 3,539 10 11.1
Switzerland 2,217 +842 14 +1 4 2,199 256.2
UK 1,391 +251 35 +14 20 1,336 20 20.5
Norway 1,254 +145 3 1 1,250 27 231.3
Netherlands 1,135 +176 20 +8 2 1,113 45 66.2
Sweden 1,040 +79 3 +1 1 1,036 2 103.0
Belgium 886 +197 4 1 881 33 76.4
Denmark 864 +28 2 +1 1 861 2 149.2
Austria 860 +205 1 6 853 1 95.5
Japan 839 +35 24 +2 144 671 36 6.6
Diamond Princess 696 7 456 233 15
Malaysia 428 +190 42 386 9 13.2
Qatar 401 +64 4 397 139.2
Greece 331 +103 4 +1 8 319 5 31.8
Canada 321 +69 1 11 309 1 8.5
Australia 300 +52 5 +2 27 268 1 11.8
Czechia 293 +104 293 2 27.4
Portugal 245 +76 2 243 9 24.0
Finland 244 +19 10 234 44.0
Singapore 226 +14 105 121 11 38.6
Slovenia 219 +38 1 218 3 105.3
Bahrain 214 +2 77 137 2 125.8
Israel 213 +20 4 209 2 24.6
Brazil 200 +49 1 199 2 0.9
Iceland 180 +19 180 1
Estonia 171 +56 1 170 128.9
Ireland 170 +41 2 1 167 6 34.4
Hong Kong 149 +7 4 81 64 4 19.9
Philippines 140 +29 11 +3 2 127 1 1.3
Romania 139 +16 9 130 1 7.2
Egypt 126 +16 2 27 97 1.2
Poland 125 +21 3 13 109 3 3.3
Iraq 124 +14 10 26 88 3.1
Saudi Arabia 118 +15 2 116 3.4
Indonesia 117 +21 5 8 104 0.4
Thailand 114 +32 1 35 78 1 1.6
India 112 +12 2 13 97 0.1
Kuwait 112 +8 9 103 4 26.2
San Marino 109 +8 7 +2 4 98 11
Lebanon 99 +6 3 1 95 3 14.5
UAE 98 +13 20 78 2 9.9
Luxembourg 77 +26 1 76
Chile 75 +14 75 3.9
Peru 71 +28 71 2.2
Russia 63 +4 8 55 0.4
Slovakia 61 +17 61 11.2
South Africa 61 +23 61 1.0
Taiwan 59 +6 1 20 38 2.5
Vietnam 56 +3 16 40 0.6
Pakistan 53 +20 2 51 0.2
Bulgaria 51 +10 2 49 7.3
Brunei 50 +10 50
Croatia 49 +10 2 47 11.9
Algeria 48 +9 4 +1 10 34 1.1
Serbia 48 +2 1 47 1 5.5
Argentina 46 +1 2 44 1 1.0
Panama 43 1 42 10.0
Mexico 43 +17 4 39 1 0.3
Albania 42 +4 1 41 2 14.6
Palestine 38 38 7.4
Ecuador 37 +9 2 35 1 2.1
Costa Rica 35 +8 35 3 6.9
Colombia 34 +10 34 0.7
Georgia 33 +3 1 32 1 8.3
Cyprus 33 +7 33 1 27.3
Hungary 32 +2 1 +1 1 30 3.3
Latvia 30 +4 1 29 15.9
Morocco 28 +10 1 1 26 1 0.8
Belarus 27 3 24 2.9
Armenia 26 +6 26 8.8
Senegal 24 2 22 1.4
Bosnia and Herzegovina 24 +3 24 7.3
Azerbaijan 23 +4 1 6 16 2.3
Moldova 23 +11 23 5.7
Oman 22 +2 9 13 4.3
Malta 21 +3 2 19
Tunisia 20 +2 20 2 1.7
North Macedonia 19 1 18 9.1
Sri Lanka 18 +8 1 17 0.8
Turkey 18 +12 18 0.2
Venezuela 17 +15 17 0.6
Afghanistan 16 +5 1 15 0.4
Maldives 13 +3 13
Cambodia 12 +5 1 11 0.7
Lithuania 12 +3 1 11 4.4
Macao 11 +1 10 1
Dominican Republic 11 11 1.0
Faeroe Islands 11 +1 11
Jordan 10 +9 1 9 1.0
Bolivia 10 10 0.9
Jamaica 10 +2 2 8 3.4
Martinique 10 10
Kazakhstan 9 +3 9 0.5
New Zealand 8 8 1.7
French Guiana 7 7
Liechtenstein 7 +3 7
Paraguay 7 7 1 1.0
Réunion 7 +1 7
Ghana 6 +4 6 0.2
Uruguay 6 6 1.7
Andorra 5 +4 5
Bangladesh 5 2 3
Rwanda 5 +4 5 0.4
Guyana 4 +3 1 3
Cameroon 4 +1 4 0.2
Ivory Coast 4 +2 4 0.2
Cuba 4 4 0.4
Ethiopia 4 +3 4
Puerto Rico 4 4 1.4
Uzbekistan 4 +4 4 0.1
Ukraine 3 1 2 0.1
Burkina Faso 3 +1 3 0.1
Channel Islands 3 3
French Polynesia 3 3
Guadeloupe 3 3
Guam 3 +3 3
Honduras 3 3 0.3
Kenya 3 +2 3 0.1
Seychelles 3 +1 3
Monaco 2 2
Nigeria 2 1 1
Aruba 2 2
Curaçao 2 2
DRC 2 2
Namibia 2 2 0.8
Saint Lucia 2 +1 2
Saint Martin 2 2
Trinidad and Tobago 2 2 1.4
Guatemala 1 1 +1 0 0.1
Sudan 1 1 0
Nepal 1 1 0
Antigua and Barbuda 1 1
Bahamas 1 +1 1
Bhutan 1 1
Cayman Islands 1 1
CAR 1 +1 1 0.2
Congo 1 +1 1 0.2
Equatorial Guinea 1 1 0.7
Gabon 1 1 0.4
Gibraltar 1 1 0
Guinea 1 1 0.1
Vatican City 1 1
Mauritania 1 1 0.2
Mayotte 1 1
Mongolia 1 1 0.3
St. Barth 1 1
St. Vincent Grenadines 1 1
Suriname 1 1
Eswatini 1 1 0.9
Togo 1 1 0.1
U.S. Virgin Islands 1 1
Total: 169,333 12,680 6,500 667 76,618 86,215 5,921 21.7
Highlighted in green
= all cases have recovered from the infection
Highlighted in grey
= all cases have had an outcome (there are no active cases)
The "New" columns for China display the previous day changes (as China reports after the day is over). For all other countries, the "New" columns display the changes for the current day while still in progress.
ITALY: Italian media are reporting the change in active cases (a lower number) rather than the change in total cases (a higher number), representing it as "newly infected" when, in fact, it represents the "change in active cases." Newly infected, meaning the number of people who have tested positive to the virus in the last day, is the number shown on the table above, which corresponds to the change in total cases in accordance with the international standards set by the WHO and followed by all countries. The change in active cases (what Italian media label as "newly infected") is the result of the following formula: (newly infected) - (new deaths) - (new recoveries). All data, including total cases ("casi totali") is available on Italy's Dipartimento della Protezione Civile official repository

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Latest Updates

March 15 (GMT)

  •  UK: “As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalization” a secret Public Health England (PHE) briefing for senior NHS officials, seen by the Guardian, reveals [source]

    - “A year is entirely plausible. But that figure isn’t well appreciated or understood [...] I think it will dip in the summer, towards the end of June, and come back in November, in the way that usual seasonal flu does. I think it will be around forever, but become less severe over time, as immunity builds up,” commented Paul Hunter, an expert in epidemiology  [source]
  • 723 new cases and 11 new deaths in the United States

    - All New York City schools will shut down immediately and stay closed for at least 1 month [source]  All hospitals will be required to cancel elective surgeries

    - Illinois: all bars and restaurants to close to dine-in customers through March 30 [source] 

    - Ohio: all bars and restaurants will close Sunday at 9 p.m. indefinitely ‘This is a once in a lifetime pandemic’ said Gov. Mike DeWine [source] 

    New deaths include:

    - at least 3 new deaths in New York: a 79-year-old woman, a 78-year-old man, and a 53-year-old woman with diabetes and heart disease  [source] 

    - 2 new deaths in King County (WA) [source] 

    - Death of a female in her 50s in New Jersey  [source] 

    - First death in Oregon: a 70-year-old man in Portland who had tested positive just four days ago and reportedly had other health problems. [source]   

    New cases include:

    - 32 new cases in King County (WA)  [source] 

    - 2 new cases in Schenectady County (NY), which declares State of Emergency [source] 

    - First 2 cases in Putnam (NY)  [source] 

    - FIrst case in San Bernardino County (CA): a woman who recently returned from London  [source] 

    - 6 new cases in Suffolk Country (New York) [source] 

    - 9 new cases in North Carolina, just one day after adding 8. Total now reaches 32 [source] 

    - 4 new cases in Indiana, including the first in Hamilton County. Marion County’s case total has doubled since Saturday from 3 to 6 [source]

    - 39 new cases and 1 new death in Florida: a 77-year-old from Lee County is the fourth Florida resident to die after testing positive for coronavirus  [source]

    - 2 new cases in Hawaii (on Maui and Oahu). Details have emerged regarding the latest 2 cases in Kauai: a couple who had traveled from Indiana arriving in Maui on March 2. Shortly after their arrival, one of the visitors developed a fever, shortness of breath and cough and went to an urgent care facility. On March 7, the second visitor also developed symptoms and went to urgent care. A day later, both of the visitors flew to Kauai, staying at the Kauai Marriott, and on March 9, one of the visitors visited again an urgent care facility. Finally, on March 12, the two informed health care workers that they had close contact with an individual who had tested positive for coronavirus. 2 health care workers in Maui and 1 in Kauai are now in self-isolation because they were not wearing protective equipment  [source]

    - 9 new cases in Utah (Salt Lake County) [source] First case of community spread identified [source]

    - 8 new cases in Michigan [source]

    - First case in San Luis Obispo County (California): a person over the age of 65 with underlying health conditions who exhibited a fever, cough, and shortness of breath [source]

    - 1 new case in Missouri: a person in their 20s who had traveled to Austria [source]

    - 2 emergency room doctors (in NJ and WA) are in critical condition after treating patients with COVID-19, according to reports  [source]

  • 1 new death in Guatemala:  a 85 year old man from San Pedro Sacatepequez who came back to Guatemala from Madrid on March 6th [source]
  • 49 new cases in Brazil [source]
  • 1 new case in Argentina: a 4-year-old boy from Resistencia who contracted the disease from a relative who tested positive after returning from one of the countries at risk [source]
  • 145 new cases in Norway [source]
  • 19 new cases in Iceland [source]
  • 69 new cases in Canada including

    - First case in Kelowna (BC): a passenger on a flight from Vancouver to Kelowna [source]
    - 4 in New Brunswick [source]
    - 3 in Nova Scotia, all travel-related [source] 
    - 39 in Ontario [source]  marking the biggest single-day increase: 14 in Toronto, 5 in Peel, 5 in Ottawa, 3 in Hamilton, 3 in York Region, 2 in Waterloo, 2 in Durham, 2 in Simcoe-Muskoka, 1 in Niagara, 1 in Haliburton-Kawartha-Pineridge and 1  "pending." 
    - 3 in Manitoba, a man in his 70s, a woman in her 70s who had recently traveled and a woman in her 50s [source]
    - 11 in Québec [source] 

  • 8 new cases and 2 new deaths in San Marino [source]
  • 12 new cases in Turkey: 7 new cases are from Europe, 3 new cases from the USA, and 2 new cases are relatives of the first case [source] [source]
  • 15 new cases in Venezuela: including 3 who had returned from Spain, 2 from the United States, 1 from Colombia and 2 Venezuelans who had been in contact with some of them. The national government will implement mandatory social quarantine starting tomorrow March 16 in 7 states of the country: Caracas, La Guaira, Miranda, Zulia, Apure, Cojedes and Táchira [source] [source]
  • 1 new case in Cameroon: a 34-year-old Cameroonian citizen who arrived from Belgium through Paris. Yesterday, the third case confirmed in the country was a Cameroonian citizen from Italy who arrived on March 7 through Paris. Health Ministry urged passengers of the flights related to the cases to urgently call a dedicated number and quarantine for 14 days [source] [source]
  • 4 new cases in Rwanda [source]
  •  4 new cases in Uzbekistan: an Uzbek woman arriving from France on March 15. All family members were also infected and are now hospitalized at the Republican Scientific Research Institute of Virology [source] [source]
  • 9 new cases in Ecuador [source]
  • 16 new cases in Egypt [source]
  • 26 new cases in Luxembourg, restaurants and cafes close [source]
  •  251 new cases and 14 new deaths in the United Kingdom. "Getting through this is going to be a national effort. Every single person in this country is going to be affected" said UK's Health Secretary Matt Hancock, adding that soon every Briton over the age of 70 will be asked to remain at home for up to 4 months and have groceries and vital medication delivered. Wartime-like measures will ask carmakers to produce medical equipment and turn hotels into hospitals [source] [source] [source]
  • 8 new cases in Costa Rica. Ministry of Health announces closure of all bars, clubs, and casinos [source] [source]
  •  1452 new cases and 96 new deaths in Spain [source]
  •  924 new cases and 36 new deaths in France [source]
  • 79 new cases and 1 new death in Sweden [source] [source]
  • 15 new cases in Saudi Arabia
  • 12 new cases in India [source]
  • 28 new cases in Peru
  • 41 new cases in Ireland
  • 17 new cases in Mexico [source]
  • 14 new cases in Iraq:  all in the Sulaymaniyah province and connected to each other
  • 17 new cases in Slovakia. State of Emergency declared. All retail stores except food, drugstores, pharmacies, newspapers, post offices, banks, gas stations, and pet food stores will be closed for 14 days. Only necessary surgery will be performed in hospitals. Restaurants will only deliver [source]
  • 1 new case in China, Macao SAR, a South Korean woman who had returned from Portugal. It is the first case in Macau in 40 days. All 10 previously confirmed cases recovered [source]   [source]
  • 1 new case in Seychelles [source]
  • 1214 new cases and 2 new deaths in Germany [source]
  • 1 new case in Bahamas: a 61-year old woman with no travel history [source] 
  • 9 new cases in Jordan [source]
  • 23 new cases in South Africa. President Ramaphosa declares a “National State of Disaster”: a ban is imposed on travel from and to Iran, South Korea, United Kingdom, USA, Germany, Italy and China. In addition to schools being closed and  gatherings of more than 100 people prohibited:

    - all travellers who have entered South Africa from high-risk countries since mid-February will be required to present themselves for testing

    - travellers from medium-risk countries (such as Portugal, Hong Kong and Singapore) will be required to undergo high intensity screening

     “Never before in the history of our democracy has our country been confronted with such a severe situation” – President Cyril Ramaphosa [source] [source]

  • 2 new cases in Tunisia: 2 idividuals who had returned from France  [source]
  •  3590 new cases and 368 new deaths in Italy [source] [source]
  • 2 new cases in Jamaica [source]
  • 2 new cases in Serbia
  • 56 new cases in Estonia [source]
  • 4 new cases in Andorra [source]
  • 35 new cases and 2 new deaths in Japan [source]
  • 64 new cases in Qatar [source]
  • 13 new cases in the United Arab Emirates: all cases are travel related [source]
  • 5 new cases in Cambodia: a 35-year old Frenchman who traveled to Singapore  [source]
  • 6 new cases in Armenia [source]
  • 14 new cases in Chile [source]
  • 20 new cases in Israel: the total number of cases in Israel is now 213, including 18 healthcare workers. The Shin Bet, Israel’s domestic security service, confirmed that it was examining the use of its technological capabilities to fight coronavirus.  Netanyahu described the virus as an “invisible enemy that must be located." "In all my years as prime minister I have avoided using these means among the civilian public but there is no choice,” Netanyahu said. [source] [source]
  • 103 new cases and 1 new death in Greece: a 53-year-old man who had been hospitalized for several days [source]
  • 3 new cases in Ethiopia [source]
  • 3 new cases in Bosnia and Herzegovina [source]
  • 8 new cases in Sri Lanka: 7 people who had returned from Italy and a 45-year old man who had been in Germany with a previously confirmed case [source]
  • 7 new cases in China, Hong Kong SAR [source]
  • 3 new cases in Kazakhstan including a woman in her 60s whose husband had been previously confirmed positive, and a man in his 20s that had arrived from Seoul [source] [source]
  • 2 new cases in Kenya [source]
  • 10 new cases in Bulgaria [source]
  • 11 new cases in Moldova including a child. Three are imported cases and 8 are community transmitted cases [source]
  • 16 new cases in Romania [source]
  • 3 new cases in Georgia
  • 3 new cases in Vietnam: a 33-year-old Latvian tourist, a 35-year-old German and a 30-year-old Englishman [source] [source]
  • 205 new cases in Austria [source]
  • 2 new cases in Oman: one who had traveled to Italy [source]
  • 10 new cases in Colombia [source]
  • 1 new case in Réunion [source]
  • 4 new cases in Russia [source]
  • 14 new cases in Singapore [source]
  • 4 new cases in Ghana: imported into the country [source] [source]
  • 3 new cases in Lithuania: all traveled abroad [source]
  • 38 new cases in Slovenia [source]
  • 10 new cases in Croatia [source]
  • 20 new cases in Pakistan [source]
  • 2 new cases and 1 new death in Hungary [source]
  • 176 new cases and 8 new deaths in the Netherlands [source]
  • 1st case in Congo: a person who had returned from France [source]  [source]
  • 2 new cases in Bahrain [source]
  • 3 new cases in Guyana: family of the deceased first confirmed case [source]
  • 52 new cases and 2 new deaths in Australia: a 90-year-old woman in Sydney and a 77-year-old woman from Noosaville who passed away after traveling to Sydney by plane [source]
  • 842 new cases and 1 new death in Switzerland [source]
  • 28 new cases and 1 new death in Denmark: an 81-year-old patient [source] [source]
  • 76 new cases in Portugal [source]
  • 4 new cases in Azerbaijan [source]
  • 10 new cases in Brunei Darussalam: Bruneians are barred from traveling out of the country as a measure to contain the importation of new COVID-19 cases into Brunei.
    Permission for traveling is only applicable for urgent matters [source]
  • 10 new cases in Morocco [source]
  • 4 new cases in Albania: 2 of the cases are doctors [source]
  • 1209 new cases and 113 new deaths in Iran [source]
  • 3 new cases in Malta [source]
  • 9 new cases and 1 new death in Algeria: an 84-year-old woman [source]
  • 6 new cases in Lebanon [source]
  • 190 new cases in Malaysia [source]
  • 197 new cases in Belgium [source]
  • 3 new cases in Liechtenstein [source]
  • 3 new cases in Maldives: a foreign national from Anantara Dhigu, and 2 persons from the Island Safari boat [source] [source]
  • 1 new case in Faeroe Islands [source]
  • 1 new case in Saint Lucia: a 53-year-old man who had traveled to France [source]
  • 19 new cases in Finland. Tracking numbers is no longer meaningful, because not all of those who have symptoms can be tested, said Asko Järvinen, chief of HUS Infectious Diseases [source] [source]
  • 1 new case in Burkina Faso [source]
  • 1s case in the Central African Republic: a 74-year-old Italian who had recently been in Milan [source]
  • 2 new cases in Côte d'Ivoire [source]
  • First 3 cases in Guam: 2 people who had traveled to Guam from Manila, and 1 person with no recent travel history, in their 60s [source]
  • 29 new cases and 3 new deaths in the Philippines [source]
  • 4 new cases in Latvia [source]
  • 6 new cases in Taiwan [source]
  • 8 new cases in Kuwait [source]
  • 32 new cases in Thailand [source]
  • 21 new cases in Indonesia [source]
  • 5 new cases in Afghanistan [source]
  • 76 new cases and 3 new deaths in South Korea [source]
  • 20 new cases, 10 new deaths (all in Hubei) and 1,370 new discharges occurred in China on March 14, as reported by the National Health Commission (NHC) of China [source]
Archived:

February 2020 Coronavirus News Updates

Timeline:

  • On February 3, two new cases were reported in Germany, one is the children of a family already infected with the virus.
  • On February 2, doctors in Thailand said they discovered medical treatment that cured a patient of coronavirus ‘in 48 Hours’
  • On February 2, a death in the Philippines marked the first death occurring outside of China. It was a 44-year-old Chinese man from Wuhan who was admitted to the hospital on Jan. 25 with fever, cough, and sore throat, developed severe pneumonia but in the last few days “was stable and showed signs of improvement; however, the condition of the patient deteriorated within his last 24 hours resulting in his demise." reported the Philippine Department of Health.
  • On February 2, China shut down another major city as it closed roads and restricted the movement of residents in Wenzhou, a city with a population of 9 million that is located 800 km away from Wuhan, in Hubei province. The Zhejiang province, where Wenzhou is located, has the highest number of confirmed cases outside the Hubei province.
  • On February 1, the 8th case in the United States was reported (a male in his 20s, in Boston, MA).
  • On January 31, the first 2 novel coronavirus cases in the UK, [18] the first 2 cases in Russia, [20] and the first case in Sweden and in Spain were reported. Canada reported its 4th case.
  • On Jan. 31, the United States
    • declared Coronavirus a Public Health Emergency
    • issued 14 days quarantine rules for US citizens entering the US from China (mandatory if entering from the Hubei province).
    • issued an order to deny entry to foreigners who have traveled to China within the past two weeks.
  • On January 30, the novel coronavirus total case count surpassed that for SARS (which affected 8,096 people worldwide).
  • On January 30, the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus outbreak a Global Public Health Emergency.
  • On January 30 CDC confirmed the first US case of human to human transmission[17].
  • Germany, Japan, Vietnam and the United States have reported cases in patients who didn't personally visit China, but contracted the virus from someone else who had visited Wuhan, China[15]. These cases of human to human transmission are the most worrisome, according to the WHO[16].
  • Wuhan (the city where the virus originated) is the largest city in Central China, with a population of over 11 million people. The city, on January 23, shut down transport links. Following Wuhan lock down, the city of Huanggang was also placed in quarantine, and the city of Ezhou closed its train stations. This means than 18 million people have been placed in isolation. The World Health Organization (WHO) said cutting off a city as large as Wuhan is "unprecedented in public health history."[12] and praised China for its incredible commitment to isolate the virus and minimize the spread to other countries.

How dangerous is the virus?

There are three parameters to understand in order to assess the magnitude of the risk posed by this novel coronavirus:

How contagious is the Wuhan Coronavirus? (Ro)

The attack rate or transmissibility (how rapidly the disease spreads) of a virus is indicated by its reproductive number (Ro, pronounced R-nought or r-zero), which represents the average number of people to which a single infected person will transmit the virus.

WHO's estimated (on Jan. 23) Ro to be between 1.4 and 2.5. [13]

Other studies have estimated a Ro between 3.6 and 4.0, and between 2.24 to 3.58. [23].

Preliminary studies had estimated Ro to be between 1.5 and 3.5. [5][6][7]

An outbreak with a reproductive number of below 1 will gradually disappear.

For comparison, the Ro for the common flu is 1.3 and for SARS it was 2.0.

Fatality Rate (case fatality ratio or CFR) of the Wuhan Coronavirus

See full details: Wuhan Coronavirus Fatality Rate

The novel coronavirus' case fatality rate has been estimated at around 2%, in the WHO press conference held on January 29, 2020 [16] . However, it noted that, without knowing how many were infected, it was too early to be able to put a percentage on the mortality rate figure.

A prior estimate [9] had put that number at 3%.

Fatality rate can change as a virus can mutate, according to epidemiologists.

For comparison, the case fatality rate for SARS was 10%, and for MERS 34%.

Incubation Period (how long it takes for symptoms to appear)

See full details: COVID-19 Coronavirus Incubation Period

Symptoms of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) may appear in as few as 2 days or as long as 14 (estimated ranges vary from 2-10 days, 2-14 days, and 10-14 days, see details), during which the virus is contagious but the patient does not display any symptom (asymptomatic transmission).

Age and conditions of Coronavirus cases

See latest findings: Age, Sex, Demographics of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths

According to China's National Health Commission (NHC), about 80% of those who died were over the age of 60 and 75% of them had pre-existing health conditions such as cardiovascular diseases and diabetes.[24]

According to the WHO Situation Report no. 7 issued on Jan. 27:

  • The median age of cases detected outside of China is 45 years, ranging from 2 to 74 years.
  • 71% of cases were male.

A study of 138 hospitalized patients with NCIP found that the median age was 56 years (interquartile range, 42-68; range, 22-92 years) and 75 (54.3%) were men.[25]

The WHO, in its Myth busters FAQs, addresses the question: "Does the new coronavirus affect older people, or are younger people also susceptible?" by answering that:

  • People of all ages can be infected by the new coronavirus (2019-nCoV).
  • Older people, and people with pre-existing medical conditions (such as asthma, diabetes, heart disease) appear to be more vulnerable to becoming severely ill with the virus.

Patient who died in the Philippines was a 44-year old male

The patient who died in the Philippines on February 2, in what was the first death occurring outside of China, was a 44-year-old Chinese man from Wuhan who was admitted on Jan. 25 after experiencing fever, cough, and sore throat, before developing severe pneumonia. In the last few days, “the patient was stable and showed signs of improvement, however, the condition of the patient deteriorated within his last 24 hours resulting in his demise." according to the Philippine Department of Health.

Serious Cases of 30 year old patients in France

As of Jan. 29, according to French authorities, the conditions of the two earliest Paris cases had worsened and the patients were being treated in intensive care, according to French authorities. The patients have been described as a young couple aged 30 and 31 years old, both Chinese citizens from Wuhan who were asymptomatic when they arrived in Paris on January 18 [19].

Age and Sex of the first deaths as reported by the China National Health Commission (NHC)

The NHC reported the details of the first 17 deaths up to 24 pm on January 22, 2020. The deaths included 13 males and 4 females. The median age of the deaths was 75 (range 48-89) years.[21]

WHO Risk Assessment: Global Emergency

See full details: WHO coronavirus updates

On January 30, the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus outbreak a Global Public Health Emergency.

For more information from the WHO regarding novel coronavirus: WHO page on Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

Comparisons:

  • Every year an estimated 290,000 to 650,000 people die in the world due to complications from seasonal influenza (flu) viruses. This figure corresponds to 795 to 1,781 deaths per day due to the seasonal flu.
  • SARS (November 2002 to July 2003): was a coronavirus that originated from Beijing, China, spread to 29 countries, and resulted in 8,096 people infected with 774 deaths (fatality rate of 9.6%). Considering that SARS ended up infecting 5,237 people in mainland China, Wuhan Coronavirus surpassed SARS on January 29, 2020, when Chinese officials confirmed 5,974 cases of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). One day later, on January 30, 2020 the novel coronavirus cases surpassed even the 8,096 cases worldwide which were the final SARS count in 2003.
  • MERS (in 2012) killed 858 people out of the 2,494 infected (fatality rate of 34.4%).

Novel Coronavirus Worldometer Sections:


Countries

More info

Sources

  1. Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) situation reports - World Health Organization (WHO)
  2. 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in the U.S. -. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
  3. Outbreak Notification - National Health Commission (NHC) of the People’s Republic of China
  4. Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) - Australian Government Department of Health
  5. Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic prediction - Jonathan M. Read et al, Jan. 23,2020.
  6. Early Transmissibility Assessment of a Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China - Maimuna Majumder and Kenneth D. Mandl, Harvard University - Computational Health Informatics Program - Posted: 24 Jan 2020 Last revised: 27 Jan 2020
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  10. Symptoms of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) - CDC
  11. China's National Health Commission news conference on coronavirus - Al Jazeera. January 26, 2020
  12. Wuhan lockdown 'unprecedented', shows commitment to contain virus: WHO representative in China - Reuters. January 23, 2020
  13. Statement on the meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) - WHO, January 23, 2020
  14. International Health Regulations Emergency Committee on novel coronavirus in China - WHO, January 30, 2020
  15. Human-to-human transmission of Wuhan virus outside of China, confirmed in Germany, Japan and Vietnam - The Online Citizen, Jan. 29, 2020
  16. Who: "Live from Geneva on the new #coronavirus outbreak"
  17. CDC Confirms Person-to-Person Spread of New Coronavirus in the United States - CDC Press Release, Jan. 30, 2020
  18. CMO confirms cases of coronavirus in England - CMO, UK, Jan. 31, 2020
  19. Coronavirus in France: what you need to know - The Local France, Jan. 31, 2020
  20. First two persons infected with coronavirus identified in Russia - Tass, Jan. 31, 2020
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  24. Coronavirus: Window of opportunity to act, World Health Organization says - BBC, Feb,\. 4, 2020
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