Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Variation of the hydrological regime of Bele-Shira closed basin in Southern Siberia and its reflection in the radial growth of Larix sibirica

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Regional Environmental Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study analyses dynamics of the hydrological regime of Bele-Shira closed basin and evaluates the potential for using radial growth of Siberian larch (Larix sibirica) for its assessment. We investigated the relationships between different characteristics of the water level variation of Lake Shira, precipitation amount and long-term regional chronologies developed from 56 living trees and 32 dead trees on three sites across this basin. Graphical and correlation analysis indicate that the interannual change (June minus previous June) of the water level of Lake Shira is strongly positively related to the annual sum of precipitation from July to June and the radial growth of larch. It was shown that this hydrological characteristic integrates the current dynamics of the regional precipitation and moisture regime as a whole of the Bele-Shira closed basin on interannual and decadal scales. The water level of Lake Shira fluctuates on a multi-year timescale in synchrony with the cumulative sum of the tree-ring chronology and also has strong positive long-term trend, probably driven by the continual groundwater inflow from neighboring Lake Itkul. Delayed relationships of precipitation and radial growth with the Lake Shira level change are interpreted with reference to a water balance model of the closed basin. Results offer the possibility of reconstructing interannual and decadal variation of the hydrological regime during the last few centuries through regression models using tree-ring chronologies or the dynamics of climatic variables recovered from them.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Alisov BP (1956) Climate of the USSR. Moscow State University, Moscow (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Babushkina EA, Belokopytova LV (2014) Climatic signal in radial increment of conifers in forest-steppe of Southern Siberia and its dependence on local growing conditions. Russ J Ecol 45:325–332. doi:10.1134/S1067413614050038

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Babushkina EA, Vaganov EA, Silkin PP (2010) Influence of the climatic factors on the cell structure of the tree-rings of conifers growing in different topoecological conditions of the forest-steppe zone of Khakasia. J Sib Fed Univ (Biology) 3:159–176 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Babushkina EA, Knorre AA, Vaganov EA, Bryukhanova MV (2011) Transformation of climatic response in radial increment of trees depending on topoecological conditions of their occurrence. Geogr Nat Resour 32(1):80–86. doi:10.1134/S1875372811010148

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bazhenova OI, Tyumentseva EM (2010) The structure of contemporary denudation in the steppes of the Minusinskaya depression. Geogr Nat Resour 4(31):362–369. doi:10.1016/j.gnr.2010.11.010

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bear J (1972) Dynamics of fluids in porous media. Dover Publications, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Biondi F, Strachan S (2012) Dendrohydrology in 2050: challenges and opportunities. In: Grayman WM, Loucks DP, Saito L (eds) Toward a sustainable water future. ASCE, Reston, pp 355–362

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Bradley RS (2009) Holocene perspectives on future climate change. In: Battarbee RW, Binney HA (eds) Natural climate variability and Global warming: a holocene perspective. Wiley-Blackwell, London, pp 254–268

    Google Scholar 

  • Cook E, Briffa K (1990) Data analysis. In: Cook ER, Kairiukstis LA (eds) Methods of dendrochronology: applications in the environmental sciences. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, pp 97–162

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Cook ER, Krusic PJ (2005) Program ARSTAN, Version 41d. http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/tree-ring-laboratory/resources/software

  • Cook ER, Peters K (1981) The smoothing spline: a new approach to standardizing forest interior tree-ring width series for dendroclimatic studies. Tree-Ring Bull 41:45–53

    Google Scholar 

  • DeRose RJ, Wang S-Y, Buckley BM, Bekker MF (2014) Tree-ring reconstruction of the level of Great Salt Lake, USA. The Holocene 24(7):805–813. doi:10.1177/0959683614530441

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fritts HС (1976) Tree rings and climate. Elsevier Inc, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Giadrossich F, Niedda M, Cohen D, Pirastru M (2015) Evaporation in a Mediterranean environment by energy budget and Penman methods, Lake Baratz, Sardinia, Italy. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 19:2451–2468. doi:10.5194/hess-19-2451-2015

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gillies RR, Chung O-Y, Wang S-Y, Kokoszka P (2011) Incorporation of Pacific SSTs in a time series model toward a longer-term forecast for the Great Salt Lake elevation. J Hydrometeorol 12(3):474–480. doi:10.1175/2010JHM1352.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gillies RR, Chung O-Y, Simon Wang S-Y, DeRose RJ, Sun Y (2015) Added value from 576 years of tree-ring records in the prediction of the Great Salt Lake level. J Hydrol 529(3):962–968. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.08.058

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holmes RL (1999) Dendrochronology program library. Users manual. Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson

    Google Scholar 

  • Knorre AA, Siegwolf RTW, Saurer M, Sidorova OV, Vaganov EA, Kirdyanov AV (2010) Twentieth century trends in tree ring stable isotopes δ13C and δ18O of Larix sibirica under dry conditions in the forest steppe in Siberia. J Geophys Res 115:G03002. doi:10.1029/2009JG000930

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kopytkovskiy M, Geza M, McCray J (2015) Climate-change impacts on water resources and hydropower potential in the Upper Colorado River Basin. J Hydrol Reg Stud 3:473–493. doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.02.014

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Magda VN, Vaganov EA (2006) Climatic response of the tree growth in the mountain forest-steppes of Altai-Sayan region. Izv RAN (Geography) 5:92–100 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Magda VN, Block J, Oidupaa OC, Vaganov EA (2011) Extraction of the climatic signal for moisture from tree-ring chronologies of Altai-Sayan mountain forest-steppes. Contemp Probl Ecol 4:716–724. doi:10.1134/S1995425511070034

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maksimov AA (1989) Natural cycles. The reasons for cyclicities of ecological processes. Nauka, Leningrad (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Matskovsky VV, Dolgova ЕА, Solomina ON (2010) Teberda River runoff variability AD 1850–2005 based on tree ring reconstruction Northern Caucasus, Russia. IOP Conf Ser Earth Environ Sci 1(9):6. doi:10.1088/1755-1315/9/1/012017

    Google Scholar 

  • Meko DM (2006) Tree-ring inferences on water-level fluctuations of Lake Athabasca. Can Water Resour J 4(31):229–248. doi:10.4296/cwrj3104229

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meko DM, Woodhouse CA (2011) Application of streamflow reconstruction to water resources management. In: Hughes MK, Swetnam TW, Diaz HF (eds) Dendroclimatology, progress and prospects, developments in paleoenvironmental research. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 231–261

    Google Scholar 

  • Meko DM, Therrell MD, Baisan CH, Hughes MK (2001) Sacramento river flow reconstructed to A.D. 869 from tree rings. J Am Water Resour Assoc 37(4):1029–1039. doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2001.tb05530.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nikolaev AN, Skachkov YB (2011) Influence of the dynamics of the snow cover on growth and development of forests in Central Yakutia. Kriosfera Zemli 3:71–80 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Nikolaev AN, Skachkov YB (2012) Influence of snow cover and temperature regime of permafrost soils on radial growth of trees from Central Yakutia. J Sib Fed Univ (Biology) 1:43–51 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Palmer WC (1965) Meteorological drought. US Department of Commerce, Washington

    Google Scholar 

  • Quinn FH, Sellinger CE (2006) A reconstruction of Lake Michigan-Huron water levels derived from tree ring chronologies for the period 1600–1961. J Gt Lakes Res 32:29–39. doi:10.3394/0380-1330(2006)32[29:AROLMW]2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rinn F (2011) TSAP Win. Time series analysis and presentation for dendrochronology and related applications. Version 4/64 for Microsoft Windows: User Reference, Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  • Rogozin DY, Genova SV, Gulati RD, Degermendzhy AG (2010) Some generalizations based on stratification and vertical mixing in meromictic Lake Shira, Russia, in the period 2002–2009. Aquat Ecol 44(3):485–496. doi:10.1007/s10452-010-9328-6

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Savichev OG, Guseva NV, Abdullaev BD (2015) Water balance of the lake system Shira-Itkul, Khakasia. Vestnik Tomskogo gosadarstvennogo universiteta 391:214–219 (in Russian)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schulze ED, Beck E, Müller-Hohenstein K (2005) Plant ecology. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  • Selyaniniov GT (1958) Principles of agroclimatic regional planning in USSR. In: Davitaya FF, Shulgina AI (eds) Voprosi agroklimaticjeskogo rayonirovania SSSR. Ministry of Agriculture of the USSR, Moscow, pp 18–26

    Google Scholar 

  • Shanahan TM, Overpeck JT, Sholz C, Sharpe E, Arko J (2007) Simulating the response of a closed basin lake to recent climate changes in tropical West Africa (Lake Bosumtwi, Ghana). Hydrol Process 21:1678–1691. doi:10.1002/hyp.6359

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shnitnikov AV (1969) Intracentennial variability of the components of general moisture availability. Nauka, Leningrad (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Vaganov EA, Anchukaitis KJ, Evans MN (2011) How well understood are the processes that create dendroclimatic records? A mechanistic model of the climatic control on conifer tree-ring growth dynamics. In: Hughes MK, Swetnam TW, Diaz HF (eds) Dendroclimatology, progress and prospects, developments in paleoenvironmental research. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 37–75

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang S-Y, Gillies RR, Reichler T (2012) Multidecadal drought cycles in the great basin recorded by the Great Salt Lake: modulation from a transition-phase teleconnection. J Clim 25:1711–1721. doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4225.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wigley TML, Briffa KR, Jones PD (1984) On the average value of correlated time series, with application in dendrochronology and hydrometeorology. J Clim Appl Meteorol 23:201–213

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic Press, San Diego

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This study was funded by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research and the Republic of Khakassia according to the research Projects No. 14-44-04043 and No. 15-05-01666. We also thank anonymous reviewers and editor Wolfgang Cramer for their helpful comments.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Khakass Technical Institute, Siberian Federal University, 27 Shchetinkina St., Abakan, Russia, 655017

    Elena A. Babushkina & Liliana V. Belokopytova

  2. Institute of Geography of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 29 Staromonetniy Pereulok, Moscow, Russia, 119017

    Alexi M. Grachev

  3. Laboratory of Tree-ring Research, The University of Arizona, 1215 E. Lowell Street, Box 210045, Tucson, AZ, 85721, USA

    David M. Meko

  4. Siberian Federal University, 79 Pr. Svobodniy, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, 660041

    Eugene A. Vaganov

  5. V. N. Sukachev Institute of Forest, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 50/28 Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, 660036

    Eugene A. Vaganov

Authors
  1. Elena A. Babushkina
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Liliana V. Belokopytova
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Alexi M. Grachev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. David M. Meko
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Eugene A. Vaganov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Elena A. Babushkina.

Additional information

Editor: Wolfgang Cramer.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary material 1 (DOC 46 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Babushkina, E.A., Belokopytova, L.V., Grachev, A.M. et al. Variation of the hydrological regime of Bele-Shira closed basin in Southern Siberia and its reflection in the radial growth of Larix sibirica . Reg Environ Change 17, 1725–1737 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1137-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1137-1

Keywords

Search

Navigation