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Rep. Summer Lee is the first of several members of The Squad to face off against a serious primary challenger.
Rep. Summer Lee is the first of several members of The Squad to face off against a serious primary challenger.
Apr 26
ABC News Photo Illustration, AP, Stringer/Getty Images

Latest 538 Headlines

April 26

Democratic divisions over Israel aren't guaranteed to sink The Squad

But pro-Israel donors and personal scandals could present hurdles for some.
April 26
April 25

538's new polling averages show close presidential race

The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live!
April 25
April 25

Trump leads in swing-state polls and is tied with Biden nationally

How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work.
April 25
April 25

How (most of) our polling averages work

An explanation of the methodology for most of 538's current polling averages.
April 25
April 24

Trump leads in swing-state polls and is tied with Biden nationally

How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work.
April 24
April 23

Are Mike Johnson’s days as House speaker numbered? | 538 Politics Podcast

After months of conflict over whether or how to aid American allies abroad, the House passed a slate of bills providing funding for Ukraine, Israel, Gazan humanitarian assistance and Taiwan.
April 23
April 22

4 House primaries to watch in Pennsylvania

The Keystone State will set the table for a slate of key elections this fall.
April 22
April 19

How pollsters are (and aren't) fighting fraud

Can traditional safeguards filter out spammers and bad-faith actors?
April 19
April 18

In Trump trial, jury selection is part politics | 538 Politics Podcast

The jury selection process is still underway in former President Donald Trump's Manhattan criminal trial.
April 18
April 18

Americans really love their governors

Pollsters differ on how much, but most hold high approval ratings.
April 18
April 17

Does it matter that Democrats are raising more money than Republicans?

538 breaks down the latest presidential, Senate and House fundraising reports.
April 17
April 16

The far right claims there's a 'uniparty' in Washington. Reality suggests otherwise.

Democrats and Republicans have grown farther apart — and Americans know it.
April 16
April 16

The political stakes of Trump's hush money trial

How this trial could impact the 2024 campaign.
April 16
April 14

What the polls say about Trump's hush money trial

About half of Americans think he's guilty. That likely won't matter in November.
April 14
April 11

What's up with the kids these days?

Young voters showed up for Biden in 2020. Will they in 2024?
April 11
April 11

It's really hard to change Electoral College rules

Nebraska Republicans are only the latest to try and fail.
April 11
April 10

The less you vote, the more you back Trump

A new poll suggests it's Republicans who should be rooting for higher turnout.
April 10
April 09

Biden has forgiven billions in student loans. Voters may not have noticed.

After an expansive plan was struck down, he focused on targeted initiatives.
April 09
April 09

Tim Scott is the leading Trump VP contender

Plus, the solar eclipse polling you thought you knew.
April 09
April 08

Do Americans agree with Trump on abortion?

Test your knowledge of public sentiment on abortion, IVF and more.
April 08
April 04

Where will people commune in a godless America?

Religious decline has happened fast. It means fewer places for connection.
April 04
April 02

The presidential election has become an unpopularity contest

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are both underwater in the polls with the American public.
April 02
March 28

Are US politics undergoing a racial realignment? | 538 Politics Podcast

Some voters of color are challenging traditional voter alliances.
March 28
March 26

Is an election vibe shift underway? | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden's approval rating is up, and Trump's favorability rating is down.
March 26
March 25

Who said it: Biden, Trump or someone from 'The Bachelor'?

We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 25
March 21

538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned? | 538 Politics Podcast

The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21
March 18

How worried should Democrats be about the polls? | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18
March 14

Do campaign stops actually matter? | 538 Politics Podcast

Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14
March 11

Does Gen Z really care more about that viral TikTok than politics?

What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11

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