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- BookletFAO 2020–2021 La Niña advisory
Potential impacts on agriculture and food security in high-risk countries (revised version)
2021Also available in:
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The La Niña meteorological phenomenon can have a severe impact on agriculture and food security. As of November 2020, a 95 percent chance of La Niña continuing through January–March 2021 was forecasted, with a 65 percent chance to persist into spring. The intensity of the phenomenon is foreseen to be medium to strong. This advisory highlights a number of countries in the Greater Horn of Africa, Southern Africa, Southwest Asia and the Near East, and East Asia and the Pacific Islands that should be prioritized for international support in further analysis on the potential impact of La Niña. Anticipatory actions are recommended to mitigate negative repercussions on vulnerable communities. - Brochure, flyer, fact-sheetAnticipating El Niño: Mitigation, preparedness and response plan for Southern Africa, 2023–2025 2023
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El Niño poses a serious threat to the food security and survival of vulnerable communities around the world. In Southern Africa, the phenomenon brings dry conditions, with global forecasts projecting a substantial reduction in rainfall in the region. Through the anticipating El Niño mitigation, prepardness and response plan for Southern Africa, FAO aims to protect the lives and livelihoods of vulnerable populations and to contribute to efforts to strengthen the collaboration between humanitarian, development and peace actors. FAO requires USD 128 million to assist 4 million households across Southern Africa, namely in Angola, Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe. By taking resolute action, the way can be paved for a more resilient future for agriculture and the communities it supports, even in the face of El Niño. - DocumentLa Niña: Early Warning – Early action analysis for a potential La Niña in 2016 – 2017
Revised edition, update #2
2016Also available in:
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La Niña is the cooling of sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, which occurs roughly every three to five years, lasting from six to 24 months. On average, half of El Niño events are followed by a La Niña, which typically affects global climate patterns in the opposite way El Niño does. The intensity of the La Niña climatic phenomenon generally peaks between October and January The aim of this report is to:- (a) consolidate information on La Niña’s potential impacts on agr iculture and food security, specifically in the regions which are now dealing with the consequences of El Niño; and
- (b) provide early action recommendations in the agriculture sector to either reap the beneficial outcomes of La Niña, or prevent, mitigate and prepare for its negative effects.
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